Bloomburrow has been out for two weeks, and there’s been some impressive price changes already. Some have rocketed up, and others have fallen hard. Usually there’s only one or two cards that jump this early, but this set has some unusual things going on, so let’s talk about the gainers and losers so far.

Big winners:

Caretaker’s Talent (up to $7 from $1.50) – Even before you level it up, having the ‘make a token, draw a card once a turn’ effect is something a boatload of decks can use. There’s a lot of ways to make sure it triggers on your opponents’ turns as well, so this is an engine just at level one. Bumping to level 2 is good, one mana to draw a card, and then bam, you get a mega-anthem at level 3.

This started out far too cheap for its appeal, and right now I’d be a seller if I had any. I’ll be curious to see where the price drifts down to over time, as this is a must-include in basically all token decks from here to infinity. Please note that you can draw from any token, not just a creature. So if you make a Food, a Treasure, anything, you can go wild. 

Patchwork Banner (up to $4 from $1) – I’m not surprised that this is a popular card, it goes right into any number of kindred decks and does two very useful things for the chosen group. I thought we’d have a little longer for this to be cheap before it went up, though, and while I want to believe that this will go back down, I’m aware that we have all of Duskmourn to get to in just six weeks. This started cheap, has gone up, and might never have a chance to go back down. The fast turnaround time means that we might not get the big supply needed to push this back to a cheaper price.

The foils being available in the $6 range are tempting, and even if that drifts down by a dollar or two it should pick back up. I fully expect this card to be in a Secret Lair sometime soon, it’s really the perfect card for that. 

Innkeeper’s Talent (up to $20 from $6) – Having lost to this card a whole lot in draft already, I don’t need to be told how good it is. Adding +1/+1 counters is a deck in and of itself, and this gives that deck access to another Doubling Season-esque effect. Magic players love redundancy in their overkill, and this does exactly that. This is easily the least mana for adding a counter every turn, and in a color that goes from Atraxa to Halana and Alena.

Also, this says ‘permanents’ and that makes the Doubling Season comparison relevant. It’s six mana total, but on an installment plan, and does something on its own, even the turn you play it. And then it’s enabling Sagas to go wild, or instant ultimate on planeswalkers. Choose your own busted adventure.

That being said, it’s quite unusual for an in-print rare to hold a price tag this high for long, and if you have or open spare copies, I would sell. This card alone is adding serious EV to opening boxes, and I would not want to be caught holding as I hoped for $25 or $30. Take your profit and move on before it dips back down.

Every Raised Foil – As I explained in The Mana Math of Bloomburrow, it takes 573.77 Collector Booster packs to get one specific raised foil. This is exacerbated by them being cute animals, and that there’s no other version of the foil. It’s the regular frame, the foil regular frame, and then this anime raised foil. No nonfoil anime, no regular foil anime, no Extended Art or other Showcase, just straight to the most premium version.

As a result, none of these can be had under $50 and several are $200+ in price. I’m hesitant to say that the cheap ones are a buy because they are cheap, but it won’t take many purchases to get it up there. Right now, on TCGPlayer, Finneas, Ace Archer is available for $49 plus shipping in a NM raised foil. If that sells, and 14 more sell, then we’re looking at $150 copies.

This is the time when supply should be near to maximum, especially with Duskmourn being released in six weeks the Bloomburrow cards are going to get forgot about fast.

Big losses:

The Infamous Cruelclaw (down to $5 from $9) – I imagined there would be all sorts of silly Commander decks trying to build this plus one devastating spell, but such decks are glass cannons and you literally can’t add other interaction to it. It’s a powerful card, and I’ve seen it do good things, but it is not the end of the world. Do note that it’s a Mercenary, though, and as such, we might see it add into other Outlaw decks in fun ways.

Iridescent Vinelasher (down to $3.50 from $6) – Again, this is an Outlaw so it works very well with Double Down and those sorts of things. Long-term, I wouldn’t mind having a few of this card as it seems like an easy way to deal a lot of damage to opponents in decks built to do this. It would be a stronger Commander card if it said ‘each opponent’ but there are a lot of 100-card decks out there that can add five-to-ten lands in a turn without anything too bananas going on. 

Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Rotation happens as of today, and as we say goodbye (finally) to Streets of New Capenna, Kamigawa, Neon Dynasty, and two Innistrad blocks, I want to take a moment and figure out what lessons the calendar can teach us. Rotation is going to happen every year, and we can’t say for sure what the exact date is, since Wizards likes to mess with release schedules and dates.

However, what we can do is look at heavily played Standard cards, and see when (or even if) their impending rotation caused people to sell on a card. This will impact what we do in the early part of 2025, as we look ahead to the next rotation.

When I say that the schedule changes, I mean it. Innistrad: Midnight Hunt was released on 9/24/2021, Dominaria United on 9/9/2022, Wilds of Eldraine on 9/8/2023, and now Bloomburrow on 8/2/2024. Those release days influence when rotation happens, and that’s a two-month window. I’ll be looking for a timeframe of ‘X months before rotation’ instead of February 28.

Another complicating factor here is that a card’s Standard use is not the only factor in its price. Commander drives most of the sales these days, but the other Constructed formats using a card will also affect its price and can make that card resistant to rotation dips. (See: Sheoldred, the Apocalypse) So when we’re looking at price trends, we want to find cards that aren’t seeing much use in other formats.

An example of unhelpful data is Xander’s Lounge:

This is an extremely good card, but because it’s all over the place in Commander, rotation is barely affecting the price. I would be surprised to find this price dropping, and considering its inclusion rate in Commander decks, I’d buy it up if the price were going down. 

Most lands aren’t good indicators for the effect of rotation, because they are either on their first printing and getting wide use (triomes, the MID/VOW slowlands) or because they have been printed more than once and their price can’t move without major, major things happening (painlands).

Our first bellwether card is Wedding Announcement.

Wedding Announcement is not used in any other Constructed format, and it’s only listed in 19k Commander decks online. Which makes sense, this is a card that gives you one token a turn and then it’s an anthem. Commander can do better. 

The high price for this card was at the beginning of the year, when it was close to $20. Now there’s hundreds of sub-$5 copies on TCGPlayer and plenty available close to $3 as people try to get what they can for the card. We’re looking at about six months for the card, and that’s a good starting point. It’s important to be early on this card: at the beginning of summer it was around $5.50, and that’s clearly too late.

Our second example is Topiary Stomper:

More than 74,000 decks have listed this card, which is more than I’d prefer for something like this but that’s still a mere 4% of decks that have been put online since it was released. Stomper has had some good times, most recently as part of assorted Domain strategies. Its drop is not just about the switch from the Domain deck to the Aftermath Analyst decks, there’s still plenty of Domain going around. 

We see a similar price trajectory here, with the card being cheap most of its time in Standard, spiking at the first of the year, and trending down after that. 

For the last example, let’s look at more of a format staple, something that saw play in a range of archetypes, The Wandering Emperor:

TWE is only in 18k Commander decks, and while she’s a player in some Pioneer decks, that hasn’t kept her price high. This graph shows only the last year, and her early price was above $40, trended down a little, then bumped back up to $30ish before reaching her current spot just above $10. There’s been times where she wasn’t as popular, but her price during her time in Standard never got below $15 until just recently. That is exactly the sort of trend I’m looking for. 

As for what to buy now, I’m leaning away from singles from these four sets. Singles don’t appeal to me as much as the easy money of recent Secret Lair purchases, and it’s all too easy for me to see cards either languishing or getting reprinted.

I’m hesitant to spend money on things from the two Innistrad sets, because the Double Feature printing just put more copies out there. As an example,.Shipwreck Marsh has copies as cheap as $3 but there are enormous walls of the card on TCGPlayer. That might eventually pay off, but the quantities are too high and I’d avoid them as specs. 

Many staples have already had reprints, such as Farewell, but I think the Legendary Lands from Neon Dynasty are strong contenders to start ticking upwards for a while, now that they are no longer Standard legal. They are too expensive for one Secret Lair set by themselves, that would be something like $60+ of cards even in nonfoil. There’s going to need to be a bonus set, or some reskinning, to get these reprinted. I like their growth potential, but the reprint is 100% coming.

Still, it’s good to know that there are cards that can be sold profitably when rotation hits, so we can plan for that around the beginning of the year with cards from DMU, BRO, ONE, MOM and Aftermath. 

Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

This coming Monday, July 29th, at 9 am Pacific time, 12 pm Eastern time, and 4 pm GMT, the next Superdrop becomes available. There’s a whole lot to unpack here, and I’m going to go over all of the cards with you and determine what I want to buy and why.

Let’s get to the cards!

One caveat before we dive in: We’ve gotten no hint that there will be a Hatsune Miku drop as yet, and given that there are two big collaborations in this drop, a third would be a lot going on at once. We also don’t know if there’s a bonus card, a reward for spending X dollars, but with how popular the last drop was that didn’t include a bonus, they might have given up on that completely.

The exact dollar amounts for bundle discounts isn’t known yet, but I would be surprised if it went much over 15%, even for the biggest bundles. Wizards understands that they are selling a lot of cards, and the discounts have been slowly shrinking. The line must continue up and to the left!

For each drop, I’m going to look at the EDHREC numbers, as that’s the biggest driver for cards like these. EDHREC is a great database, even if its numbers are a little weighted towards preconstructed decks, and while it’s a small percentage of players overall it remains useful. 

MTG x Brain Dead

Brain Dead is an art group that’s done a lot of cool stuff, and they get three sets of cards here. Wurmcoil is only listed in 85k decks online, which feels low for such an iconic creature. Its cheapest version is $11, and there’s both Inventions and Serialized versions released over the years. Sphinx is $23, has a borderless version, and is in 106k decks. Kiki-Jiki is $7, and this would be the first printing that isn’t the traditional frame, though it’s not far off. He’s also got just under 80k decks, including a thousand where he’s the commander. Meteor Golem was in a SL drop in 2021, with Jen Bartel and a badass look in a borderless frame for $6, and is in 97k decks! Again, be wary of that number due to how many precons the Golem has been in, and the Goo is just filler that only the hardest-core coin flipper plays.

Sphinx, Wurmcoil, and Kiki make a decent start for the set of cards, and if the discounts are right, I might buy some of these. It doesn’t sing to me, though, and I’m being a bit more selective with buying sealed drops vs. singles these days.

Brain Dead Lands

All of these were put into one image, making me think that this is the first time they are putting two of each land into one drop. I’d be tempted by ten foil lands for $40, but ultimately I think this is a pass for me. It’s been a couple of drops since we were given lands, and I’d been hoping we were past this. The lands are great art, but there’s just so many choices for great art these days that we need something truly unusual to break through.

Brain Dead Staples

There are staples indeed (none listed at less than 400k decks), and all of these are worthwhile pickups. Four of these cards were in the ‘Through the Wormhole’ drop, and with galaxy foiling plus sweet art. The frames for the Brain Dead cards ought to look pretty cool, with the textured frame, and I’m probably going to buy a couple of this drop.

Showcase: Bloomburrow

These are neat, and I’ve learned not to overlook the power of ‘cute’ when it comes to Magic cards. None of these are cats or dogs, and a lot of the value here is predicated on Tezzeret being only available as a buy-a-box card. Because of that scarcity, he’s a $20 card but that’s going to fall pretty hard. He’s an auto-include in artifact decks that can play him, but those numbers aren’t too huge. I’m going to get singles here, instead of spending $40 or $50 on the set.

Featuring: Andrew MacLean

This is a great set of art, and I remain thankful that Wizards has listened to me as I begged for the art series to be bigger than the regular frame. So here we are, borderless cards from the gloriously beared artist of the Head Lopper series. This is the first special frame for Nirkana (34k), Terastodon (68k) and Arbor Elf (142k). Maelstrom Wanderer has a profile version in Commander Masters, is the number #199 commander all time (5400 as commander, 38k as card) and so this drop will likely have the most expensive versions of all four of these cards. 

At $40, I’m not a buyer. I’ll be looking for singles the week this lands, especially on Arbor Elf. 

MTG x Monty Python vol 1 and vol 2

I generally avoid swearing here but HOLY SHIT I did not see this coming. This is a phenomenal crossover, headlined by something which will sing to Magic boomers like me. The original pinger (as an aside, to demonstrate how powerful this ability to tap and deal damage to any target is, there’s only two of those creatures legal in Pioneer: Endbringer and Syr Carah) has a whole bit of lore about why Prodigal Sorcerer was nicknamed ‘Tim’, and it was so prevalent that it was used as a verb back in the day. 

The bonus cards, according to Reddit (and I believe it, the Monty Python drops are already on sale this weekend at SDCC) are worthwhile, and I 100% believe that this was slated to be a single Lair, but they see how Evil Dead and Princess Bride did, and decided to double their money. Can’t blame them, really.

I will be maxing out on these, and if the limit is 5 per order, I may think of telling friends to order some too. This is going to pay off, and I also expect this to be the Lair that sells out fastest. 

I would not be shocked if they went back and gave us a volume 3 or 4, given the quotable moments that didn’t get covered (Grail-shaped beacon! Huge tracts of land! Coconuts as horses! ELDERBERRIES!) because they want to get every dollar out of us and this is the way to do it.

My rankings for the drop overall:

1 and 2) Monty Python

3) Brain Dead Staples

4) Brain Dead Gallery 

5) Featuring Andrew MacLean

6) Brain Dead Lands

If they surprise us with big discounts or some awesome bonus card, I might adjust what I buy, but my plan currently is to max out on Monty Python and dabble a little in the Staples. Come chat in the Discord if you want to talk other plans!

Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Bloomburrow is officially out in two weeks, and I want to make sure you know your odds before you start going crazy with preorder pricing. We have more than a few card variants to look for, and thankfully, we’ve got all the information we need to calculate drop rates.

So let’s get into some of the specifics for the set, and see what the numbers tell us.

First of all, The List is dead! (for now) and Special Guests are the only leftovers of a targeted reprint policy. We’ve got some others in the subsets too, but that happens in every release. Special Guest nonfoils are in Play Boosters, and foils in Collector Boosters. We’re told that for a nonfoil, you’re at a 1.5% chance to get one in any Play Booster. That’s 67 packs for any nonfoil SPG, and with ten cards, that means 667 packs to get a specific one (or 18.5 boxes). I’ll compare that to the foils in a moment.

There are three groupings of cards in Bloomburrow, outside of the expected Showcase and Extended Art cards we see in every set. First is the Courageous Critters (20 cards), the Field Notes (8 cards), and then a set of 20 Anime Art cards done by Mitsuhiro Arita. Of note, these aren’t bonus sheets but they are subsets, though they lack their own set code, like BIG and OTP were for Outlaws of Thunder Junction. 

Play Boosters can’t open any of the big money foil variants, so aside from knowing that the SPG nonfoils are tough to pull, we’ll move on. If you really want to know about a card from Play Boosters, drop me a message on Twitter or in the Discord.

The Collector Boosters have three slots at the end that are noteworthy. First, we have two slots in a row of nonfoil cards we’ll care about. Please note that the listed percentages add up to 200%, because there’s two slots.

With these percentages, it can be a little misleading, so let’s make a table. 

Set/Treatment (all nonfoils)	Percent chance for any card of that category	Percent chance for a specific card of that category	# of CBs to open one specific card from that category
Borderless Mythic Rare (5)	6.58%	1.32%	75.99
Borderless Field Notes Rare (1)	2.63%	2.63%	38.02
Borderless Field Notes Mythic (6)	7.89%	1.32%	76.05
Borderless Field Notes Mythic (1)	0.6%	0.60%	166.67
Showcase Rare (35)	92.1%	2.63%	38.00
Showcase Mythic Rare (7)	9.21%	1.32%	76.00
Borderless Planeswalker Mythic Rare (1)	1.32%	1.32%	75.76
EA Rare (13)	34.2%	2.63%	38.01
Courageous Critters Rare (12)	31.5%	2.63%	38.10
Courageous Critters Mythic Rare (8)	10.53%	1.32%	75.97
Borderless Three Tree City Rares (4)	2.63%	0.66%	152.09
Mitsuhiro Arita Lumra, Bellow of the Woods (1)	0.6%	0.60%	166.67

Please note, Wizards isn’t entirely clear about which Field Notes mythic is a standalone, or why it happened that way. I’ve reached out to those who might be able to clarify, and we’ll see if I get any answers.

And yes, you’re seeing that correctly: 9 out of 10 Collector Booster packs will have a Showcase rare in one of these two slots. While that seems like a lot, even those will require more than three boxes to get a specific Showcase nonfoil rare. 

Now, the same table for the foil options of the last slot in the Collector Booster: 

Set/Treatment (all traditional foil unless noted)	Percent chance for any card of that category	Percent chance for a specific card of that category	# of CBs to open one specific card from that category
Borderless Mythic Rare (5)	3.07%	0.61%	162.87
Borderless Field Notes Rare (1)	1.23%	1.23%	81.30
Borderless Field Notes Mythic (6)	3.68%	0.61%	163.04
Borderless Field Notes Mythic (1)	0.31%	0.31%	322.58
Showcase Rare (35)	42.95%	1.23%	81.49
Showcase Mythic Rare (7)	4.30%	0.61%	162.79
Borderless Planeswalker Mythic Rare (1)	0.61%	0.61%	163.93
EA Rare (13)	15.95%	1.23%	81.50
Courageous Critters Rare (12)	14.73%	1.23%	81.47
Courageous Critters Mythic Rare (8)	4.91%	0.61%	162.93
Borderless Three Tree City Rares (4)	1.23%	0.31%	325.20
Mitsuhiro Arita Lumra, Bellow of the Woods (1)	0.31%	0.31%	322.58
Borderless Special Guests (10)	3.07%	0.31%	325.73
Raised Foil Anime (21)	3.66%	0.17%	573.77

So two things jump out at me right away, given the data.

First of all, 573 packs to get a specific Raised Foil Anime version is pretty out there. If a box of 12 packs is $200, then you’re looking at about $9,500 of product to get one copy! In terms of past sets, a Raised Foil Chatterfang is about as difficult to pull as a Foil Vault Frame Vaultborn Tyrant. The Raised Foils are also going to have a very wide gap from the cheapest to the most expensive, so I’m expecting to see some swingy reports of the value opened. 

Second, the foil Special Guests are 325 Collector Boosters to get a specific card, while the nonfoils are 667 Play Boosters. There’s clearly a disparity in terms of the prices involved, and how much would be spent to get a single copy, but this gap is more pronounced than ever and I’m going to be keeping a special eye on these nonfoils, as they are difficult to get. 

I hope these numbers help you make decisions about what to buy and when. If you’d like to talk about my methods or conclusion, please feel free to reach out on Twitter or in the ProTrader Discord.

Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.