Welcome, let’s get down to the numbers of Double Masters 2022. We’ve got only 24 Draft Boosters per box and a mere 4 Collector Boosters per box, effectively upping the price for each pack.
We are also getting double the rares and mythics, along with some incredibly expensive reprints. Quite the assortment of value here, and with the numbers doubled, we’ve got some really amazing things and some real bulk mixed together.
So let’s dive in and see how rare these cards are, especially compared to rarities of sets past, as try to figure out what’s worth it and what isn’t.
The basics: 120 rares and 40 mythics means twice the odds in Draft Boosters (more on that in a minute) but the last two slots in a Collector Booster are split unevenly.
We know which rares and mythics have a Borderless version and a Textured version. All rares and mythics have a foil-etched version. This list is going to be updated as previews get finished off.
|Borderless Rare (30)||Borderless Mythic (20)||Textured Foil Borderless Mythic (5)|
Anger of the Gods
City of Brass
Force of Negation
Glimpse the Unthinkable
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
Marchesa, the Black Rose
Oracle of Mul Daya
Sensei’s Divining Top
Cavern of Souls
Crucible of Worlds
Elenda, the Dusk Rose
Emrakul, the Aeons Torn
Kozilek, Butcher of Truth
Muldrotha, the Gravetide
Sedris, the Traitor King
Ulamog, the Infinite Gyre
|Emrakul, the Aeons Torn|
Kozilek, Butcher of Truth
Liliana, the Last Hope
Ulamog, the Infinite Gyre
Wrenn and Six
Let’s deal with the Borderless slot first. With 30 rares and 20 mythics, this is almost very straightforward in this slot of the Collector Booster. The rares are in the pool twice, then add the mythics. As a result, to get a specific Borderless rare, you’ve got a 1/40 chance.
For the mythics, it’s a touch more complicated. The fifteen mythics that do NOT have a Textured version are a straight 1/80 to show up in that slot, but for the five that do, you need to flip a coin and see whether you get a Textured or not.
To put in more specific terms, I’m 1/80 to get a Borderless Wrenn and Six of any type, but I’m 1/160 to get either a Textured foil or a Borderless.
The foil-etched slot has a lot more options. The set has 120 rares and 40 mythics, and that means the potential pulls are from 280 cards. Any foil-etched rare is 1/140 and any mythic is 1/280.
Have a table, to help summarize these things.
Because Wizards has a slot for the etched, and a slot for the Borderless, we’ve got an interesting situation. The rarest special versions this set will not be borderless, or even the textured foils. It’ll be the foil-etched mythics that do not have a borderless version.
Have another table:
|Rares in foil-etched WITHOUT a Borderless version (1/140 packs)||Mythics in foil-etched WITHOUT a Borderless Version (1/280 packs)|
|Abbot of Keral Keep|
Alesha, Who Smiles at Death
Arjun, the Shifting Flame
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
Bring to Light
Child of Alara
Disciple of the Ring
Doran, the Siege Tower
Elsha of the Infinite
Figure of Destiny
Firesong and Sunspeaker
Glen Elendra Liege
Green Sun’s Zenith
Intet, the Dreamer
Jodah, Archmage Eternal
Judith, the Scourge Diva
Kaervek the Merciless
Kambal, Consul of Allocation
Mathas, Fiend Seeker
Mikaeus, the Lunarch
Ob Nixilis, Unshackled
Pillar of the Paruns
Pull from Tomorrow
Rafiq of the Many
Rishkar, Peema Renegade
Roon of the Hidden Realm
Ruric Thar, the Unbowed
Sidisi, Brood Tyrant
Skullbriar, the Walking Grave
Talrand, Sky Summoner
Tariel, Reckoner of Souls
Teneb, the Harvester
Ulasht, the Hate Seed
Varina, Lich Queen
Venser, Shaper Savant
Wasitora, Nekoru Queen
Yahenni, Undying Partisan
Zur the Enchanter
|Aminatou, the Fateshifter|
Animar, Soul of Elements
Aurelia, the Warleader
Emiel the Blessed
Ezuri, Claw of Progress
Ghave, Guru of Spores
Kaalia of the Vast
Karador, Ghost Chieftain
Lord of Extinction
Master of Cruelties
Mizzix of the Izmagnus
Nicol Bolas, God-Pharaoh
Uril, the Miststalker
As is the tradition, let’s have a comparison of cards at different rarities and finishes, to give another perspective:
|Card||Rarity||Frame||Approx. # of packs to open one||Value of packs opened ($70/pack)|
|Wrenn and Six||Mythic||Textured||160||$11,200|
|Green Sun’s Zenith||Rare||Foil-Etched||140||$9,800|
And to finish off talk of Collector Boosters, let’s review where these packs and these cards rate as compared to sets from the last couple of years. Do note that these tables do NOT account for the different prices of packs, a problem which I will rectify soon.
|Set Name||Odds of a specific foil treatment rare||Odds of a specific foil treatment mythic|
|Double Masters 2022||1/40 to 1/140||1/80 to 1/280|
|CL: Battle for Baldur’s Gate||1/88||1/176 to 1/352|
|Streets of New Capenna||1/82 to 1/164||1/164 to 1/492|
|Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty||1/136||1/272 up to 1/544|
|Innistrad: Crimson Vow||1/74||1/171|
|Innistrad: Midnight Hunt||1/75.5||1/151|
|Modern Horizons 2||1/126.5||1/253|
|Commander Legends EA Foils||1/204||1/400|
Now the cards:
|Card/Treatment||Set||Odds of pulling it from a Collector Booster (approx.)|
|Extended Art Foil Jeweled Lotus||Commander Legends||1/400|
|Phyrexian Foil Vorinclex||Kaldheim||1/256|
|Japanese-Language Alternate Art Time Warp Foil||Strixhaven (Mystical Archive)||1/309|
|Foil Extended Art The Meathook Massacre||Innistrad: Midnight Hunt||1/151|
|Foil Fang Frame Sorin, the Mirthless by Ayami Kojima||Innistrad: Crimson Vow||1/171|
|Phyrexian foil (or foil-etched) Jin-Gitaxias||Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty||1/544|
|Blue Soft Glow Hidetsugu||Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty||1/219|
|Green Soft Glow Hidetsugu||Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty||1/444|
|Red Soft Glow Hidetsugu||Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty||1/1828|
|Phyrexian Foil Urabrask, Heretic Praetor||Streets of New Capenna||1/492|
|Borderless Foil Ancient Brass Dragon||Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur’s Gate||1/352|
|Foil Etched Food Chain||Double Masters 2022||1/280|
|Textured Borderless Foil Emrakul, the Aeons Torn||Double Masters 2022||1/160|
The way that Wizards changed the number of packs in a box, and therefore the cost per pack, outweighs the progress they made when increasing the drop rate for these cards. It’s also worth noting that a lot of Double Masters 2022 will end up at very low prices because of low demand for a lot of these cards. These slots will be very swingy indeed!
Draft Boosters are also relatively straightforward. There are no foil-etched cards, and there are no textured foils. Just foil Borderless and regular frame foil.
There’s two slots dedicated to rares or mythics. Same deal as the foil-etched slot applies, twice the rares means that any rare is 2/280 or 1/140, and any mythic is 1/280. Those are nonfoils, though, and represent how we’re going to get prices on regular copies so very low.
Trickier is that Borderless foils can show up in the third and fourth slots, along with foils in the regular frame. We’re explicitly told that your chances of a borderless foil rare or mythic in those slots is 1.25%, which comes out to 1/80 per slot for a borderless foil of either rarity. Since rares are twice as common as mythics, there’s a 1/240 chance of any borderless foil mythic in that slot and 1/120 for any borderless rare. Then we have to multiply by the number of cards (30 for rares, 20 for mythics) to get the chances of a specific foil borderless card.
One more step. I’ve calculated all of these on a per-slot basis, so then this table has those odds x2, due to the pair of potential slots.
|Any Traditional Foil Rare, regular frame||Any Traditional Foil Mythic Rare, regular frame||Any Borderless Foil Rare||Any Borderless Foil Mythic Rare|
|1 in 4.25 packs||1 in 8.5 packs||1 in 60 packs||1 in 120 packs|
|Specific Borderless Foil Rare||1 in 1800 packs|
|Specific Borderless Foil Mythic Rare||1 in 2400 packs|
I’m happy to talk about the math and my methods in the comments here, on Twitter, but especially in the ProTrader Discord. Please feel free to stop by and discuss your experiences and your pulls!
Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.