We’ve got a lot of Secret Lairs in our rearview mirror, and yet, the site itself is a pretty fascinating picture of what has gone before.
Wizards has chosen to make lairs available on the site until they sell out, and in some cases, that’s taking quite a while.
So today, I want to review the Lairs that are still available, and give some thinking to what lessons we can take away from those Lairs.
We’re going to start with the oldest Lairs, and I’ll link anything I wrote about that drop. For each drop, I’ll also list if foil, nonfoil, or both are still available.
Camp Totally Safe Superdrop – This originally ended up on the site in late Sept 2024, and here’s what is still on the site:
Chucky (nonfoil) – The IP was strong enough to support several films in the franchise, but as was pointed out to me, it was the same group of people who went to all of the movies. It didn’t have a wide outpouring of support and interest, but instead had a deep interest with a smaller group. Additionally, there’s a bunch of people who found this creepy and unfun. Also very relevant: The cards themselves were not terribly relevant to Commander players.
Tome of the Astral Sorceress (both) – We’ve seen a few drops in this visual style, with a lot of white space and text focus, and mostly, they have not done well.
Ghostbusters (both) – Eladamri’s Call is holding this from being a total wash, but the nostalgia was not strong enough here to get this to sell out, even almost a year later.
Slimer (both) – It’s possible that these two cartoon drops were way overprinted (more on that in a sec) but as I said originally, Windfall was the best here and has stayed there. Interest just hasn’t kept pace.
Miku: Electric Entourage (JP foil) – The English foil is $36 just for the Elspeth/Miku card from this drop, but the JP foil of the same card is available for $8 on the same website. Miku collectors are driving this train, as Elspeth Tirel is not a super-popular Commander card. My theory here is that the first two Miku drops sold out ridiculously fast, and the second pair of Miku drops had a lot more printed. JP foils of Miku cards will eventually get there, given the collectors, but this being available a year later speaks volumes about how many were printed.
Strange Sands: Swamp and Strange Sands: Mountain – The Islands sold out fast as a Rorschach meme, but I imagine this is all interest from people who liked the lands and bought enough for their commander deck. There’s less demand for these two lands, even when you’re getting this many copies.
Winter Superdrop 2025 – Lorwyn Lightboxes (nonfoil) – This might stay on the site till we’re back at the Lorwyn plane, but the creature types just aren’t that popular to support the nonfoils.
Featuring Mitsuhira Arita (nonfoil) – Interestingly, the foils are less expensive than the nonfoils for Murktide Regent, but it’s the other way round for the other three cards. The Murktide nonfoil goes for $21, and you can buy the drop for $29 (plus shipping and tax). If Murktide becomes popular in the Modern metagame, we might see this take off, but right now it’s not there.
Arcade Racers (both) – A polarizing frame, while neat, and an uninspired group of cards. One thing I need to look out for when evaluating EDHREC numbers is how many Commander decks a card has been in–every precon is worth a bunch of EDHREC decks.
Miku: Winter Diva (JP foil/nonfoil) – As I said, I think the print run was juiced for the later Miku drops, but this is still really good value. Swan Song is the headliner, but the play might be to pick up singles in JP foil right now. As before, there’s a big gap in price on TCGPlayer between the English and Japanese foils.
Our Boss is on Vacation 2025 – Garden Buds (both) – Given all the lands-theme stuff that’s been printed lately, this should do better, but it remains a source of value. I suspect this was overprinted.
Class of ‘87 (both) – Just ugly and a bad set of cards. A combination we always need to avoid.
Adventures of the Little Witch (foil) – Again, this is more about the cards in the drop than anything else. The nonfoils sold out, but there’s still a lot of foils left for some very mid cards.
Ultimate Pencil Superdrop – We covered this on MTG Fast Finance pretty extensively, and our verdict was that this was an experiment. Clearly, one not to be repeated. Plus, a pencil was literally the bonus inclusion on this drop. Feels like this is where the shark got jumped, and they have corrected back.
Vroooooooom (all 3) and Everything is on Fire (all 3) – I have no beef with the idea of a chase tier of Secret Lair cards. I just need them to have unique art and more obvious foiling, like everything we’ve seen with Fracture Foils as the chase cards. These sets were targeted at folks who need a playset of cards, but Commander is the big driver on these prices. The concept can work, just not with these cards.
Featuring: Jay Howell (both) – Another set of mid cards with okay art, nothing jawdropping.
KEXP (all four) – Lands are something they just should stop doing in Secret Lair, even if they took a step in the right direction by giving us ten lands not five. The other KEXP is on theme for the Pencil drop–mid cards, uninspiring art.
Secret Lair Commander deck: Everyone’s Invited – The theme is a little off, but every other Commander deck has sold out. This being $200 to start and not even getting there with the double rainbow foils and the reprints just doomed the deck. Even a $40 Sol Ring can’t tempt people in.
Artist Spotlight: Phil Foglio (both) – Yes, this is a reprint of Constant Mists, and PFogs is an iconic artist, but we need to get past artist spotlights that use the original Magic frame. We need borderless, at least, and we need cards that are higher demand than these four.
Featuring: Imiri Sakabashira (both) – Uninspired card choices, though the art is awesome. Used to be that great art would overcome mediocre cards for a Lair, but we’re getting so many so often that it’s no longer the case.
Sonic: Friends and Foes (both) – This is probably overprinting. The Universes Beyond sets have been pure fire lately, and Wizards knows exactly how many Spongebobs and Marvels and Final Fantasy sets got sold. I expect they set the number available pretty high on the Friends and Foes, but then they throttled the number you could buy of each, so we ended up with an odd mix of leftovers. Now that the attention has moved on, we’ll see how these linger.
Featuring Deathburger (galaxy and nonfoil, also with Commander deck for each) – I’ve made the analogy in more than one area that galaxy foil might be the new retro foil. The first time, it was outstanding and neat and unusual. But if they overdo it, and do it to too many mediocre cards, it loses something. The other galaxy foil drop was too much value to resist, but this one has nothing that grabs the buyer, especially at $60. If this had had Academy Manufactor, then we’d really be talking, but the card choices and higher price mean that this will linger on.
So what can we take away? I think there’s some key points.
- Not every UB product is gold-plated. Street Fighter is the best example here, as it’s taken more than three years to get to $90, but the above list has a lot of UB stuff that just didn’t excite the buyer.
- New foiling is nice, but not as nice as cards people want. Raised foils and galaxy foiling are not automatic.
- Card choice matters above all else. Should be obvious, but if a drop has mediocre cards, you don’t need to buy it.
I’ll want to keep these things in mind as more drops happen and we have more demands for our money.
Cliff (@WordOfCommander at Twitter and BlueSky) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the co-host of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.