Secret Lair Silliness, for both Sealed and Singles

Secret Lairs have been one of the most profitable parts of Magic finance this year. The combination of certain reprints and unique cards, plus the system for giving them out, has been ripe for big markups and fast gains. 

However, not everything Secret Lair has been equally profitable, and there are also examples where the psychology (or foolishness) really come into play. For more than a few Lairs, it’s not about the cards, but the item itself, the collectability. So let’s get into some examples, and see where we can gain some insights for future drops.

The rest of this content is only visible to ProTrader members.

To learn how ProTrader can benefit YOU, click here to watch our short video.

expensive cards ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

Cliff (@WordOfCommander at Twitter and BlueSky) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the co-host of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at an event and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Planning For The Commander Decks Of Lorwyn Eclipsed

We’re heading into the time that’s usually a lull, but don’t worry, there’s lots of speculating and likely some news dumps coming up.

On January 23, we get Lorwyn Rising, and while six weeks seems like a lot of time, holidays make that time go by incredibly quickly. We know a little bit about the set, including the Commander decks, and that’s enough data to start thinking about cards worth a spec.

We’re getting two Commander decks, and while some of that will be new cards, some will be reprints. I expect that some of the cards on this list will end up in the decks, or the reprint/bonus sheet of the main set, and there’s nothing I can do about that. Waiting is a guarantee that you won’t get burned, but it also means you might miss out. Best advice I can offer is to be prepared, and as soon as we know information, pounce!

First of all, let’s go over the Commander deck called Blight Curse, which apparently is a -1/-1 counters deck in Jund colors. This is a theme that’s been visited before, but never really in Commander, so there’s some juicy, juicy targets. Like I said though, we’re running a risk with potential reprints. When the decklist is released, it’ll be time to pounce. I also expect this to have a couple of pricey cards (Necroskitter, Yawgmoth, etc.) to boost its total value.

Black Sun’s Zenith (Avatar or full-art) – There’s a lot of versions that are already cheap, so my expectation is that this will be in the deck. If it isn’t, I’m partial to the older full-art version, but cheap borderless foils from the TLE set could have a nice jump. I’m not expecting much if it’s reprinted though. Note that this works the way you want it to with Hapatra, Nest of Scarabs, and Flourishing Defenses.

Blowfly Infestation – Basically this adds up counters until everything is dead, making it brutally efficient at making sure stuff with counters are always in play. Strong candidate for the deck.

Flourishing Defenses and Nest of Scarabs – Close to the same card, wonderfully efficient, very likely to be reprinted in the deck. Since the only foils are the pack foils, I’m not sure if those foils will jump much, but since supply is already low, some gain is almost guaranteed.

Hapatra, Vizier of Poisons – When Tarkir: Dragonstorm was announced to have a Temur Dragons Commander deck, we all thought Mirrym would be in there. Turns out, they don’t want to add old commanders to a precon that could be better than the new ones. Hapatra might fall into this category, but at only two colors, might be safe to add. 

Crumbling Ashes – One creature a turn doesn’t seem super powerful, but the synergy is strong and this should see some new interest.

Dusk Urchins – It’s a cute combo with Black Sun’s Zenith, or some other mega-counter-adding sort of thing, and nearly every card that says ‘-1/-1 counter’ on it will see some renewed interest. 

Fevered Convulsions – Yes, it’s six mana for the first counter and ten for the second, but if your deck is focused doing one thing, then this might be an attractive option. 

Necroskitter – One of the main things I expect to be in the Commander deck, this is powerful and specific to the theme. It’s not cheap, which is something they usually keep in mind when putting the decklist together. The price is all due to printings in 2008 and 2015, and a pretty measly inclusion rate in Commander decks. They love reprints that look expensive but are going to stay cheap when reprinted.

Spitting Dilophosaurus – One of the best things we know they probably won’t add to the deck, since it belongs to a different IP. They’ve done a smidgeon of reprints from specific IPs, but this should be a safe bet. The Jurassic Park logo version is already crazy expensive, but I would not be shocked to see the foils double or more.

The Scorpion God – A cheap price means it’s likely to be in the deck, and there’s some special versions to chase down. We might see this have a big jump on the Invocation version.

Yawgmoth, Thran Physician – I especially like the Amano nonfoils here, though the base version is pricey enough to not be included in the Commander deck and if that’s the case, I expect all versions to rise by a couple bucks. 

Massacre Girl, Known Killer – The special folder versions are under $10, and when added to a deck full of the right counters, it’s quite a wonderful addition.

Fallen Ferromancer and Hateflayer – If the deck needs ways to add counters to creatures, these are two good ways to do that. Pretty likely these are in the main deck, but if they aren’t, watch out.

Misfortune – It’s on the Reserved List! And while it’s the perfect colors, it’s a card that’s pretty terrible. Your opponents will almost certainly let you have the 4 life and bonus counters, which takes away the whole point. But as I’ve said, anything that mentions the minus counters and is in Jund will get some attention. I won’t be shocked if this has a spike, but it’s a thoroughly irrational one.

The other deck is five-color Elementals, called Dance of the Elements, and there’s a lot of potential in this as well. Given that the main set has a lot of Elementals too, most of the sweet cards should get a basic reprint, like Smokebraider. However, there’s a few that I’d like to keep an eye on. 

Creeping Trailblazer – There’s so many Elementals to choose from, they can’t reprint them all. I think this is one of the contenders to get overlooked, and so we might see the six-year-old foils see a pretty jump.

Chandra’s Embercat – Chandra and Elementals have a long history, and a lot of her cards make Elementals or care about the creature type in some way. This particular kitty is another card likely to be overlooked, but would a two-mana dork be good enough for the deck? I’m doubtful.

Flamekin Harbinger & Risen Reef – Almost certain to be in the Commander deck, there’s a Secret Lair from 2023 called The Stars Gaze Back that has special versions of these two, plus Omnath, Locus of Rage and Voice of Resurgence. The art is unique, and should be a sought-after upgrade for all the cards. Full disclosure: I’ve bought some of the sealed Lairs and some of the special foils.

Incandescent Soulstoke – There’s a chance this doesn’t get the reprint, because the two abilities together are incredibly good, but if it’s in there it’ll stay cheap and if it’s not it’ll go over $5 in foil. This one I’m keeping a close eye on when preview season is rolling.

Kaheera, the Orphanguard – Halo Foils are about $15, and that’s clearly the target here. A deck would happily add this to the 99, or play it as the actual Companion. I don’t think this would be in the precon deck, as they sort of view Companion as a mistake in Constructed, but who knows?

2-color and 3-color Omnath – Four- and Five- color versions of Omnath don’t care about Elementals in the same way, so the more basic versions are worth looking at. Locus of Rage has a SLD printing to watch, as I mentioned above, but Locus of the Roil might be a little too pricey at its base to be put into the Commander deck. I’m pretty sure this will be in, though, and I don’t think pack foils would move too much as a result.

Cliff (@WordOfCommander at Twitter and BlueSky) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the co-host of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at an event and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Looking back at MTG x Final Fantasy for Future Value

So much is going on, from cancelled Secret Lairs to Arena Direct and an overflow of turkey, but I think the time is right to take a step back and look at Final Fantasy cards, now that we’re a safe five months from its release. This set is a landmark, a turning point in terms of finance and attention, so let’s look at some cards and see where the value can be gained by buying in now.

Two caveats need to be given about this list: First, I think I’ve picked some of these in other writing, Discord posts, or on MTG Fast Finance. I’m not holding any copies of these cards, aside from some for Commander decks, so if I’m double-pumping, it’s out of forgetfulness and not out of nefarious planning. 

Second, I’ve listed the EDHREC data for each of these cards, but the key thing to remember is that EDHREC is weighted towards the cards that are in precons, as well as the players who are super-invested in this game. There’s been no preconstructed decks using any of these cards (yet) so we don’t need to stress about that, but we should always remember it. 

Final Fantasy Main Set cards

Starting Town (73k decks, $11 nonfoil/$13 foil) – Generally speaking, I’m no longer interested in speculating on Standard cards, but the Commander appeal of a five-color land like this plus the Standard use patterns helps me feel pretty darn good about this. Lots of decks want one, and almost no Standard decks run just one. Multi-colored manabases have never had it so good, between shocks, surveil lands, Verges, and the anything-goes nature of Town, Fabled Passage, and Multiversal Passage. Town is appealing on all of these angles, and while it’s a strong contender to get some sort of special printing eventually, for right now, it’s a card I want to stock up on. 

Borderless Earth Crystal (68k, $11/$13) – All of the Crystals have decent-to-good inclusion rates, but the Earth Crystal does something that is a little too supported in Commander, and that is the +1/+1 counter theme. We’re almost overloaded with good things to do and play and this giving double counters plus the ability to add counters (all sorts of sick enabling going on here) means that the Earth Crystal will always be a good option for these decks going forward. Tidus and Yuna really want this card, but there’s no shortage of Commanders who want this ability. Plus, every time they go back to this well (Like in Avatar) it’ll just make this card better and better.

Borderless Fire Crystal (65k, $9/$12) – Tokens are another theme that Wizards keeps going back to, a popular and powerful thing to focus on. Ghired, Mirror of the Wilds is just one example but there’s others that do similar things, like The Jolly Balloon Man or Brudiclad, Telchor Engineer. Six additional mana is a steep price to pay, but on top of the cost reduction and giving everything haste, there’s a lot of people apparently willing to pay that price. Or maybe folks just want the haste and reduction for four mana, and the six-mana ability is just a rare bonus. Either way. 

Buster Sword (65k, $38/$43) – Having seen this card hit people, I’m convinced it should be a bonus sword of the cycle, only this one is the Sword of Kicking and Butt. Two mana, three power, and a card draw plus the mana to do the thing is a whole lot of value. Additionally, this is an iconic sword, something that’s been given countless skins and is just iconic, in the regular frame or the extra-pricey borderless frame. The borderless version is already pretty pricely, so I think there’s more value to be gained in the regular copies, but if you have the ability, Cloud holding his sword is always going to be a big draw.

Borderless Wind Crystal (60k, $7/$10) – just like tokens and counters, lifegain is one of those themes that always gets better and better. There’s a lot of ways to double up on the lifegain, and this is the cheapest, in addition to the cost reduction for everything else you’re doing. The borderless versions are much prettier, and this is also the cheapest to buy of the five.  

Borderless Midgar, City of Mako (59k, $3/$5) – I have to admit, all five spells/lands are in good use numbers, and no matter the format you’re playing, having lands also be spells is incredible flexibility. We all want to play less lands, so get your MDFCs and get your Adventure lands. Midgar is probably the best, because when you can’t muck about with the spell, it’s the land. But when it’s late in the game and a land is an awful draw, congrats! Now you get two cards! Also, the borderless version looks so much cooler here. 

Restoration Magic (52k, $1/$2) – Finally, a card with no borderless version to get, but a high inclusion rate and a fantastic effect. Save one thing, or save everything, and gain some life while you’re at it! 

Final Fantasy Through the Ages (FCA) Cards

Akroma’s Will (339k, $30/$120) – It’s important to remember that the FCA cards do indeed have different rarities, unlike the special sheets in Spider-Man and Avatar. The Mythics from the FCA sheet are difficult to pull, showing up only every 500 Collector Booster packs, and that’s for both the foil and nonfoil. Considering the amount of product you have to open to get one of these, $30 for the nonfoil seems woefully underpriced. The only thing holding me back is that another printing will come along and that’ll slow future growth, but it could be a long time indeed before we get that next printing. 

Azusa, Lost but Seeking (271k, $8/$30) – If you like the Miku art better, or the other Secret Lair version from Tsubonari, I respect your choice, but there’s blessed little full-art printings like this that are so ethereal and lovely. Amano is iconic for a reason, and I think this version could double within the next year. 

Carpet of Flowers (106k, $3/$17) – The rares of this sheet are about every 250 packs, and yet some of them are surprisingly cheap.

Carpet is one of the prime cards that make a blue player super sad, and this is the only special frame. Get your foils while they are affordable, and before the cEDH players snatch them all up. 

Isshin, Two Heavens as One (25k as commander, #17 over last two years, $9/$60) – Again, this is some iconic art, courtesy of Tetsuya Nomura, and one of the top commanders over the last couple years. Mardu wants to attack, and the triggers that can be copied range from extra power and toughness, to bonus tokens, to additional combats. Everything is on the table, and Lightning will chop through the damn thing as needed. The foil is at its lowest price to date, and so I think with under a hundred copies left on TCG, it’s time to grab a couple of them for long-term growth. 

Cliff (@WordOfCommander at Twitter and BlueSky) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the co-host of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at an event and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Are We Buying The Monster Hunter x Magic: the Gathering Superdrop?

Good grief, there’s yet another superdrop? And this one is an international sensation of IP, with giant fantasy monsters and the humans who stand up to them?

Why did it take so long?

Let’s talk about the Monster Hunter superdrop, the individual cards, and what’s worth braving the queue for.

All of the drops are at the $29.99 nonfoil/$39.99 rainbow foil, and there is some bundle pricing I’ll review in a moment, but it’s worth noting that the bundle prices have zero discount this time around. It’s been a while since they did that to us, but at least we get a sweet promo.

For each card in the drops, I’m listing the EDHREC number and the price ranges for the cheapest and most expensive versions. 

Secret Lair x Monster Hunter: The Hunt

Blind Obedience ($1-$30, 215k)

Snap ($2-$115, 272k)

Village Rites (25¢-$2, 320k)

Mizzium Mortars (50¢-$3, 48k)

Tooth and Nail ($1-$40, 46k)

There’s useful cards and not-useful cards, and we’ve had premium versions of most of these already. Solid choices, but nothing screaming at me in terms of the card choice. The art is another matter, as I’ll get to in a moment. 

Secret Lair x Monster Hunter: The Hunters

Grand Abolisher ($9-$30, 314k decks)

Archeomancer (50¢-$30, 119k)

Grim Haruspex ($1-$14, 114k)

Imperial Recruiter ($11-$120, 176k)

Champion of Lambholt ($2-$12, 200k)

Very good selection, and the first premium printing for several of these cards. Recruiter’s borderless foil from MH2 is a $20 card, in case you’re thinking that you’re about to get a three-figure version. Hate to disappoint, but that’s the Portal: Three Kingdoms version, and you’re out of luck. This is an excellent drop, between the cards, inclusion rate, and sweet versions already available. 

Secret Lair x Monster Hunter: The Monsters

Nezahal, Primal Tide ($7-$30, 116k decks)

Drakuseth, Maw of Flames (50¢-$20, 110k)

Ziatora, the Incinerator (50¢-$30, 45k)

Vaevictus Asmati, the Dire ($1-$15, 13k)

Sarulf, Realm Eater (25¢-$1, 6k)

The Dinosaur already has a Secret Lair version, but it’s the ‘relief coin’ version. This set of monsters is mostly under-used and lacking in special versions, so this has potential to go very well. Drakuseth in particular looks like a banger of a card, but with all the Dragon options, we tend to look for value in enters triggers, not attack triggers, and we often take Drakuseth out of decks. 

Secret Lair x Monster Hunter: The Monsters II

Razaketh, the Foulblooded ($8-$54, 70k decks)

Kalamax, the Stormsire (50¢-$5, 5k)

Wasitora, Nekoru Queen (50¢-$4, 9k)

Amareth, the Lustrous (50¢-$3, 7k)

I’m pretty low on this set of cards. Three of these are already cheap and used very little, and while this is a really cool version of Razaketh, the value isn’t really there for me. I don’t want to get this drop, except for the ways I’m about to describe.

This drop has some additional wrinkles worth addressing. First of all, there are English and Japanese versions of each card and bundle. English is likely to be the more expensive version, and given how TCG handles the languages in their searches, Japanese copies will take longer to reach the value you want them to get to.

Also, bundles come with an awesome Sol Ring promo, always a rainbow foil, and in the language of the bundle you order. If you order the biggest bundle, you’ll get two of the Sol Rings.

Finally, there’s a Surge Foil version of each of the cards, but you can’t order those Lairs individually. Instead, you have to buy the bundle at $240 for English or Japanese. That’s $60 per lair, which is in line with a bonus foiling version. I expect the Sol Ring to be a popular card, much like the Final Fantasy Gilded Lotus was. 

While the cards aren’t big choices in terms of how many decks they are in, this set of art might be some of the best ever in terms of the characters depicted. It’s big fantasy monster art, in a borderless frame, and reflecting an incredibly popular game series. I’ve never played the series, and that’s okay. 

Monster Hunter has a great comparison with another profitable IP that you might or might not have known about: Hatsune Miku. The cards could be notably mid, and because of the art and IP, the demand should be good. We’re here to make money off of the game, not fixate on the things we know about. We know that there’s an enormous amount of players who have bought the game, or more than one game, and combined with some kickass art, I feel like this entire drop should do well. 

However, I also have to acknowledge that this is the fifth big drop in a seven-week period, and that’s on top of Avatar being released as a main set. From my article two weeks ago: “Secret Scare was on 10/13, Playstation was on 10/27, then the Encyclopedia boxes dropped on 11/3, and now Avatar has five drops coming on 11/17.” Add in Monster Hunter on 12/1 and we’ve got quite the raid on our wallets happening. 

We also have a very recent example of what happens when you give us special foils in a Drop: The Furby Confetti foils sold out after some of the other drops on 10/13, but they sold out way before the regular foils. 

My plan is to do what I can to get the surge foil drops. I’m going to skip the regular foil and nonfoil drops, but if I can get in the random queue and snag a couple of those bundles, that should resell nicely and quickly. Everything else can wait for Dump Week.

Cliff (@WordOfCommander at Twitter and BlueSky) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the co-host of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at an event and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

MAGIC: THE GATHERING FINANCE ARTICLES AND COMMUNITY