Grinder Finance – Eldritch Moon Spoilers

As I contemplate how many times on repeat I can play Flo Rida’s “My House” at my house warming party, I am investigating the Eldritch Moon spoilers.  Unfortunately, we will not find any cards with Investigate in this set.  Returning are double-faced cards, madness, and delerium.  New mechanics are meld, emerge, and escalate.  We haven’t seen any rare cards with emerge or escalate yet but we have some sweet meld cards.

brunathefadinglight giselathebrokenblade

Okay so now after you pick up your jaw off the floor, you can continue to ask what white did deserve to get all these great cards.  Gisela draws an obvious comparison to Baneslayer Angel.  And a lot of people know how good that card was.  Gisela is pre-ordering for $26 right now which may end up being close to her price in a month based on how Archangel Avacyn looks now.  Really at this point pre-ordering Gisela is just a gamble that it’s another Archangel Avacyn and is all over the pro tour or shows up just enough to keep her price tag.  I’m not a fan of buying in now.

Bruna is another beast entirely.  She could be an easy $5-10 card based on play in a few decks much like Westvale Abbey,  While she won’t be as ubiquitous as a colorless spell land, she does a nice job of forming voltron with a Gisela that hasn’t been turned into stone.  There might be a reanimator deck that stars Bruna if we get some good ways to self mill or reanimate in white. If you want to order her now, I wouldn’t fault you but I want to see more spoilers before I make a decision.

Thalia-Heretic-Cathar

Thalia is the legendary human that just keeps on giving.  If there was a power level list of legends that got more than one card, Thalia might be the top of it.  Thalia pre-orders have already sold out several times on most websites making her price rise astronomically.  I don’t think I’d buy her now because she is the buy-a-box promo and she is legendary.  If you got in early you probably made out well.  Thalia looks to be an 3 mana creature that will easily slide into existing collected company and human decks to add some more power (because we needed it, right?).

hanweirbattlements hanweirgarrison

I think the Hanweir meld card might be the best and most likely meld card to see standard play.  It all depends on how or if Wizards decides to make Red good again.  A lot of the problem it faces right now is the red removal spells just don’t match up as well as white and black removal.  They’re not cost effective versus werewolves and don’t have the tempo boosting power that Declaration in Stone does.  That being said, Hanweir Garrison seems like an insane amount of value for a red 3 drop.  It reminds me a lot of a more forgiving Goblin Rabblemaster.  It will end the game quickly if it is allowed to attack a few times and leaves some bodies behind if you eventually find a removal spell.  The land is an easy inclusion in a red aggressive deck and it combos well with the Garrison (haste allows it to make value the first turn).  I would be surprised if we don’t see some Hanweir, the Writhing Township at the Pro Tour.

niblisoffrost thaliaslancers

These are long shots, maybe….  Niblis of Frost is an intro pack rare which are generally not very powerful.  Every once in a while we get a Pia and Kiran Nalaar which are better than expected.  Niblis has the potential to be pretty busted with it’s instant speed ability to “frost” creatures.  It isn’t embarrassing at attacking and can clear the way of any Archangel Avacyn shenanigans.  The fact that we don’t have a common place 3 damage red spell really makes it shine.

Thalia’s Lancers is far more appealing.  It’s fairly aggressively costed.  A 5 mana 4/4 first strike that draws a card is a pretty reasonable card.  The fact that this lets you tutor for a card instead of just drawing a land is big game.  It also doesn’t do the obnoxious thing that some cards do and put it on top of your library.  I would not be surprised to see Thalia’s Lancers go find an Archangel Avacyn or Bruna to keep the value train running.  Kind of amusingly, you can reanimate Thalia’s Lancers with Bruna to go find another legend (like another Bruna for when they die).  This card could be very good if the format breaks the right way.   That being said, because white is so good it might have a hard time finding a home.

Final Thoughts

  • We haven’t seen any planeswalkers yet, which is odd for the first few days of spoiler season
  • We have seen a lot of double-faced cards.  We might only have a few more rares and maybe 1 more mythic before we’re done with those.
  • Cards will get better or worse depending on what is spoiled so always keep an eye on new cards as they get spoiled.
  • We haven’t seen any rare emerge or escalate cards yet.  I expect some of them to be standard staples.
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MTG Fast Finance: Episode 21 (June 24th)

by Cliff Daigle (@wordofcommander) & James Chillcott (@mtgcritic)

MTG Fast Finance is a weekly podcast that tries to break down the flurry of financial activity in the world of Magic: The Gathering into a fast, fun and useful thirty minute format. Follow along with our seasoned hosts as they walk you through this week’s big price movements, their picks of the week, metagame analysis and a rotating weekly topic.

Show Notes: June 17th

Segment 1: Top Movers of the Week

Promise of Bunrei (Saviors of Kamigawa)
Start: $2.00
Finish: $5.50
Gain: +$3.50 (+175%)

Nimbus Maze (Future Sight)
Start: $7.50
Finish: $20.00
Gain: +$12.50 (+167%)

Moat (Legends)
Start: $350.00
Finish: $800.00
Gain: +$450.00 (+129%)

Flickerwisp (Foil, Eventide)
Start: $9.00
Finish: $15.00
Gain: +$6.00 (+67%)

Toxic Deluge (Foil, Eternal Masters)
Start: $50.00
Finish: $90.00
Gain: +$40.00 (+80%)

Belbe’s Portal (Foil, Nemesis)
Start: $13.50
Finish: $21.00
Gain: +$7.50 (+56%)

Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale (Legends)
Start: $1100
Finish: $1450
Gain: $350 (+32%)

Segment 2: Cards to Watch

James’ Picks:

  1. Pyroblast (Foil, Eternal Masters)
    •  Confidence Level: 8
    • Buy Price: $35
    • Sell Target: $50 (+43%)
    • Hold Time: 0-12+ months
  2. The Gitrog Monster (Foil, Shadows Over Innistrad)
    • Confidence Level: 7
    • Buy Price: $13
    • Sell Price: $20 (+54%)
    • Hold Time: (6-12+ months)
  3.  Tireless Tracker (Foil, Shadows Over Innistrad)
    • Confidence Level: 6
    • Buy Price: $10
    • Sell Price: $15 (+50%)
    • Hold Time: (12+ months)

Cliff’s Picks:

  1. Linvala, the Preserver (Oath of the Gatewatch)
    • Confidence Level: 8
    • Buy Price: $3
    • Sell Price: $8 (+167%)
    • Hold Time: 6+ months
  2. Eldrazi Mimic (Foil, Shadows Over Innistrad)
    • Confidence Level: 6
    • Buy Price: $5
    • Sell Price: $10 (+100%)
    • Hold Time: 12+ months
  3. Meren of Clan Nel Toth (C15)
    • Confidence Level: 7
    • Buy Price: $7
    • Sell Price:  $15 (+114%)
    • Hold Time: 12+ months

Disclosure: Cliff and James own some of the cards on their pick list.

Segment 3: Metagame Week in Review

The Standard SCG Open in Orlando on June 18th was the big tournament of the week. The usual suspects dominated the top tables including WR Humans, GW Tokens and 4-Color Rites decks. An Abzan Season’s Past deck in the hands of Jeff Hoogland made Top 8. In the Modern Classic an Esper Zur, the Enchanter list made 6th place running four copies of both Zur and Geist of Saint Traft as well as four copies of Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy.

Segment 4: Topic of the Week

Early Eldritch Moon spoilers were the topic this week. Cliff was underwhelmed by Ulrich, the spoiled werewolf commander. Eldrazi Wish seemed likely to show up in Modern or Legacy eventually. James thinks the new Emrakul is more powerful than most are giving it credit for.

James Chillcott is the CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.

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MTG Fast Finance: Episode 20 (June 17th)

by Cliff Daigle (@wordofcommander) & James Chillcott (@mtgcritic)

MTG Fast Finance is a weekly podcast that tries to break down the flurry of financial activity in the world of Magic: The Gathering into a fast, fun and useful thirty minute format. Follow along with our seasoned hosts as they walk you through this week’s big price movements, their picks of the week, metagame analysis and a rotating weekly topic.

Show Notes: June 17th

Segment 1: Top Movers of the Week

Day’s Undoing (Origins)
Start: $3.00
Finish: $4.00
Gain: +$1.00 (+33%)

Force of Will (Foil, Eternal Masters)
Start: $325.00
Finish: $500.00
Gain: +$175.00 (+54%)

Mystical Tutor (Foil, Eternal Masters)
Start: $20.00
Finish: $32.00
Gain: +$12.00 (+60%)

Bridge from Below (Modern Masters)
Start: $6.61
Finish: $10.65
Gain: +$4.04 (+61%)

Thought Lash (Alliances)
Start: $1.50
Finish: $5.00
Gain: +$3.50 (+232%)

Crystal Quarry (Foil, Odyssey)
Start: $10.00
Finish: $25.00
Gain: +$15 (+150%)

Segment 2: Cards to Watch

James’ Picks:

  1. Eldrazi Displacer (Foil, Oath of the Gatewatch)
    •  Confidence Level: 8
    • Buy Price: $10
    • Sell Target: $20 (+100%)
    • Hold Time: 0-12+ months
  2. Sneak Attack (Eternal Masters)
    • Confidence Level: 7
    • Buy Price: $20
    • Sell Price: $30 (+50%)
    • Hold Time: (6-12+ months)
  3. Wasteland (Eternal Masters)
    • Confidence Level: 7
    • Buy Price: $43
    • Sell Price: $60 (+39%)
    • Hold Time: (6-12+ months)

Cliff’s Picks:

  1. Behold the Beyond (BFZ)
    • Confidence Level: 6
    • Buy Price: $1
    • Sell Price: $5 (+400%)
    • Hold Time: 12+ months
  2. Jace, Unraveler of Secrets (SOI)
    • Confidence Level: 7
    • Buy Price: $4
    • Sell Price: $10 (+400%)
    • Hold Time: 12+ months
  3. Vampiric Tutor">Vampiric Tutor (Foil, EMA)
    • Confidence Level: 8
    • Buy Price: $100
    • Sell Price:  $150 (+50%)
    • Hold Time: 6-12+ months

Disclosure: Cliff and James own some of the cards on their pick list.

Segment 3: Metagame Week in Review

At GP Columbus and Prague, Legacy was the format in the spotlight this week. Infect took down Columbus, while Storm was the winner in Europe. Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy made a notable appearance in the Top 8 Reanimator deck from Columbus as a 2-of. Ten of the top 128 decks were various flavors of Eldrazi.

Segment 4: Topic of the Week

Eternal Masters inventory seemed to be significantly less than expected by many observers. Singles inventory already low for many key cards given that the set was just released, and looks likely to stay that way. Buyouts on key cards like Force of Will have already started.

James Chillcott is the CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.

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PROTRADER: The Psychology of Classic Buyouts

We’ve been here before.

You know the feeling – you’ve been eyeing a card for a while, saving resources and trying to find the right condition at the right price.  The card’s price stable for years, showing only modest growth.  Then it happens.

Moat

Suddenly that card you were eager to acquire disappears from the internet, only to be replaced by copies that cost nearly twice the price as previous.  This time the buyout happened with Moat, but it has taken many other forms recently: Library of Alexandria, The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale, Bazaar of Baghdad, Tetravus, Guardian Beast, etc.  The list really does go on and on.

When the spike happens on a card you were eyeing, you develop a terrible feeling in the pit of your stomach.  “Why didn’t I just buy the copy when I had the chance?” you may wonder.  For me, this most notably occurred about 5 years ago, when I had funds for an MP Unlimited Black Lotus for the first time in my Magic career.  But instead of grabbing that copy from Star City Games I hesitated – we all know how that story turned out.

Why do these trends happen?  Why do we have these emotional reactions when cards spike – even cards that weren’t necessarily on our radar?  What should we do from here?  This week I’ll break down the psychology of the classic card buyout and try to explain when you know you’re too late to chase.

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ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

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