Category Archives: Jim Casale

Grinder Finance – Kozilek’s Return

shrine art

Another Eldrazi Titan has entered the mix.  The one they called “Cosi” finally joins the battle.  What does he bring with him?  A wealth of options.

Ok real talk, since everyone else on MTGprice is probably going to cover the expeditions I’m gonna take some time to talk about some Standard cards.  My column is for the player, by a player.  As I jokingly said during our impromptu podcast (found here) with fellow MTGprice.com writers, Jeremy AaransonTravis Allen, and Douglas Johnson, not a lot of MTG Finance people play a ton of Magic.  There is some extra value in owning cards when you play with them.

sphinxofthefinalword crushoftentacles

Bad news blue players.  We probably have 2 bulk mythic rares right here.  Crush of Tentacles looks a lot like an Upheaval but the reality is it’s almost always worse to cast than Ugin.  Until Shadows over Innistrad this is likely to be a bulk rare.  Part the Waterveil sees “some” play and is still barely breaking the bulk bins at $2. I won’t waste too many words because Sphinx of the Final Word does not deserve many words.

nissavoiceofzendikar

Now we’re cooking with gasoline.  I think Nissa might be in an awkward spot because on it’s face value, it’s probably worse than Nissa, Vastwood Seer at the moment.  They are the same mana cost and this Nissa is more difficult to cast.  That being said, I’m pretty sure there will be some Nissa/Gideon deck coming in the fall of 2016 so we will want to look at the summer as the time to pick her up.   As with most Planeswalkers, this card will probably start pre-ordering for too much and be half the price by the next set.

worldbreaker

World Breaker.  It’s simple, elegant, powerful.  This card looks like a literal Giant Spider Eldrazi but it’s really a lot more than that.  There is a high demand for 7+ mana colorless creatures (especially Eldrazi).  Despite the green mana symbol this guy is immune to the same removal that Kozilek himself dodges.  This mini-Ulamog plays a lot like a Pearl Lake Ancient that also plays pretty good defense.  I’m certain there are a lot of Eldrazi ramp decks that are fine trading a land for one of their opponent’s every turn.  All in all I think this guy will be too good to be $3 but probably not good enough to be $10.  Maybe if I get some camera time in Atlanta after the set comes out I can show you how good he will be.

kozileksreturn

You remember how I said 7 mana Eldrazi are a big deal?  The Eldrazi ramp deck really wants to ramp once on 3 and twice on 4 giving you access to 7-8 mana on turn 5.  This card can nicely fit into your 4th turn after a Hedron Archive and then can be “flashed back” to finish up any non-Eldrazi threats your opponents may have.  Being an instant is a big deal because it allows you to deal with some otherwise awkward threats.  This can kill dash creatures like Zurgo and Lightning Berserker and smaller manlands like the new R/W manland.  It’s also an answer to Jace that can also kill Dragonlord Ojutai and Dragonlord Silumgar.  It can also sweep up Thopter tokens that are otherwise particularly difficult for Ugin to kill.  I expect this card to be very popular even after Ugin rotates.  This card could pre-order for as much as $15 and that would be really unfortunate because I think longer term it’s probably a $5-8 card for it’s life in Standard.

chandraflamecaller

Yeah this isn’t Elspeth Sun’s Champion.  While we are more likely to take off the CMC Glasses now on 6+ mana planeswalkers, this one just doesn’t do enough right now to justify playing.  I am, however, a big fan of foils.  This card’s 0 ability has a lot of application in EDH and works great in a host of popular Izzet commander decks (Niv-Mizzet the Firemind is where she shines the most).  I dont think this card has “what it takes” to get it done in standard.  I’m pretty miffed the elementals aren’t even real Spark Elementals.  They don’t have trample.  Over all  I think this is a card you want to avoid for more than $6 or $15 for foils.

kalitastraitorofghet

I’d say traitor-schmaitor but this guy looks like the real deal.  He should be able to single handedly bring Roast back into the fold and propel flying creatures to the front of play.  While the 4 drop spot is pretty hard to get into, I think this guy following a Drana will be an unsual 1-2 punch that will leave Black aggro decks able to pull ahead of removal efficient Red aggro decks.  With the addition of more Zombies and Vampires in Shadows over Innistrad I think this guy has a lot of upside.  We’ll have to wait for preorder pricing to start tricking in but I’m a believer at $10 or less.  Without more spoilers, it’s hard to tell if this guy will be good enough without additional tribal support.

Cards that get better with the Spoilers:

executioner

Oh hey, you remember this bulk mythic?  Well with Kalitas asking you to play more Zombies and Shadows over Innistrad due to bring more competitive Zombies into the fold, this guy might get a lot better.  As I’ve said earlier, there is a lot of competition at the 4 drop slot so maybe he doesn’t quite get there right away but it’s early enough that you can get in him trades or dig him out of bulk boxes in preparation for Shadows over Innistrad.

shrinesanctum

Oh yeah.  Eldrazi is a fringe playable deck (it’s actually bonkers if your local meta game isn’t swarming with Atarka Red) that will survive two rotations.  I find it hard to believe these 2 lands will continue to stay sub $1 as color fixing continues to get worse and colorless cards continue to get better.

The Painful Truth

painfultruths

This card is the real deal.  Showing up in Standard (when your other card draw options are Dig Through Time and Treasure Cruise – Both of which are banned in Modern and Legacy), Modern, and Legacy is a key to long term success.  This card is a buck now and if you ever intend to play black, I can’t imagine not owning a set.

The Modern lands

shocklands

Do you own all of these yet?  What are you waiting for?  I don’t know if this is the year they go up but I can’t imagine they continue to fall from here.  I  might write this again in July with a big “I told you so” but even if I don’t, you don’t lose anything by buying now.  If buying all 4 is too much, you can look at Derek Madlem‘s article describing the minimum number you need to stay competitive.

That’s all Folks

With the culmination of this article, I think we have 1-2 weeks of solid downward pressure on prices and then the bottom will become apparent.  I can’t recommend enough making sure you have purchased all that you need before this lull is over.

Next week (or the week after) I will be interviewing a local player turned card shop owner.  Do you have any questions you’d like to ask a binder grinder that has taken the step into a business owner?  Leave them in the comments below!

Grinder Finance – Having a Very Standard Christmas

Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the internet, not a price was rising. Not even a Mox.

siege rhino price 2

Once a year, Standard staples reach their lowest points before a sharp rebound the next year when people are back to playing Magic.   While this was not true of every card in Khans of Tarkir, Siege Rhino is one of the best case scenarios for people investing this holiday season.  Like many other people, I’ve been putting some cards on my naughty list and some cards on my nice list to purchase this holiday season.

naughty nice

I’m going to borrow Wizard’s 2012 Holiday card to help out a little this year.

Nice_Holiday_1280x960_Wallpaper

Nice

Gideon, Ally of Zendikar

gideon ally of

Fair trade price for Gideon right now is listed as $29.42.  A far cry from his actual price.  You’re seeing very stubborn stores keep their prices high to recoup as much of their investment as possible before the end of the year.  The truth of the matter is cash value is much lower.  Right now you can find Gideon on TCGPlayer for $20 per copy and even lower – at 13 € (about $14 USD) in Europe.  That’s pretty insane for what is essentially a format defining 4-of planeswalker, right?  There is another one on my naughty list I will show later, but right now seems like a great time to buy into Gideon.  He won’t rotate until you’ve likely got more than your $20 worth of play from him.

Eidolon of the Great Revel

eidolon of the great revel

Eidolon is a mainstay of Modern Burn decks and will be for the forseeable future.  In a deck that doesn’t play any other creatures with 2 CMC, it’s obvious this card is a house.  While the spread between the Fair Trade value and TCGPlayer is rather low, this card has a huge price jump overseas.  On Hareruya, one of Japan’s premier MTG card stores, Eidolon is listed at ¥1,800 (which is ~ $14.50) while it’s on sale!  There is obviously much more demand over seas and it is only a matter of time before our market is corrected as Eidolons are bought and shipped to Asia.  This is one of the rare circumstances where North American card prices are not leading the way and influencing other markets.  I would recommend buying into them before the Modern Pro Tour and they get some camera time.

Stoneforge Mystic (pack foils)

stoneforge mystic

All you want for Christmas is a playset of pack foil Stoneforge Mystics?  Well now is probably the best time to pick them up.  A flood of foil Stoneforge Mystics will hit the market as it was announced as next year’s GP Promo.  The way I see it, is if you play Legacy you have a lot less to lose by buying in later rather than now.  In an unlikely scenario where they unban Stoneforge Mystic in Modern, the price of them sky rocket until the end next year while we await distribution of promo copies.  If nothing gets unbanned, then they probably keep the same price trajectory as pack foil Griselbrands.  Pack foil Griselbrand dropped ~ $20 in the year and now with no more promos being distributed, will climb back up.  In the short term (a year) you may see loses buying in now but in the long term it is unlikely to see another reprint with this art.

Naughty_Holiday_1280x960_Wallpaper

Naughty

Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy

jvp

Jace has come a long way down from his Pro Tour spike but dealer confidence is pretty low right now.  Buy prices have dropped faster than the card prices so right now I’m not looking to buy in.  You can find JVP on TCGPlayer right now for ~$56 per copy which is only 85% of fair trade value.  It’s not nearly as good of a buy as Gideon (which is 68% of fair trade).  Jace also survives one less rotation so there may be more time for him to drop if you want to play him in Modern.

Lantern of Insight

lantern of insight

I don’t have a lot of non-expletive words to say about this card so I’ll communicate in interpretive memes.

The fact that is still not banned:

are you kidding me

It’s price:

are you serious

This card has a lot of the same problems written all over it as the Eggs deck did and Sensei’s Divining Top did.  I don’t want to buy these until the after the Ban and Restriction announcement January 18th.

Crucible of Worlds

crucible of worlds

I’m on the fence here.  Crucible of Worlds is probably due for another reprint but at the same time, there are some weird prices abound.  TCGLow is $11 more (at the time of this writing) than the fair trade value.  I checked the websites and there are about 11 copies of Crucible of Worlds listed between $45 and $48 on websites that MTGprice pulls it’s fair trade value from.  Will they still be available at the time you’re reading this? I’m not really sure.  That’s why this card is on my naughty list.  I don’t understand the large discrepancy in price and I can’t give you a good guess as to what is happening.

Musings of the week

  • Stoneforge Mystic probably wasn’t their first choice for GP Promo.  I’d expected something from RTR block so downward pressure on Abrupt Decay and Voice of Resurgence should be alleviated.
  • The internet wide buyout of foil Edgewalkers is silly.  The new legendary cleric might make the EDH popular but I think your money is better spent on cards for decks that exist but get better (ie colorless EDH)
  • Expeditions are going to be really hard to come by in the next few months.  I’m not sure if Oath of the Gatewatch Expeditions will be enough to stagnate demand for the prices to drop.
  • We’re about a week and a half away from the cheapest BFZ cards for the next 6 months so it would be a good idea to consider filling out your battle land playsets then.

Grinder Finance – The Rise of the Rise of the Eldrazi

The Eldrazi titans were once frowned upon in booster packs.  The seemingly uncastable legendary colorless creatures started their life cycle as bulk mythics.  As time went on and the increased popularity of “sneaking” creatures into play and Commander, their prices rose.

emrakul

Each of the Eldrazi titans have a slightly different amount of printings.  There are far more Emrakul, the Aeon’s Torn than any other Eldrazi titan due to the fact that it was a pre-release promo (when everyone got the same one).  As you can see from this graph his price largely got out of control until he was reprinted in Modern Masters 2015.  It is unlikely he will ever be usurped as the most deadly creature to attack with and his price is likely to only increase once again from here.

kozilek

Kozilek is a different beast.  He is the only Eldrazi titan that had not received a supplementary printing until Modern Masters 2015.  His competitive play is almost non-existent but he still reached a $65 price point.  The reprint was brutal for him, dropping him down to 40% of his peak price.

kozliek f

Foil Kozilek, however, faired a bit better.  Due to the generally unappealing Modern Masters 2015 foiling process, the foil version of Kozilek only fell about 50% from his peak price.  I expect supplementary printings in the future to also use a “cheaper” printing process and thus generally be a lot less liked than original printings.  Original printings for the sake of being originals already had a price premium.

What about the new Eldrazi Titans?

ulamog ceaseless

Creatures got a lot better in the 7 years since Rise of the Eldrazi so it only makes sense that newer version of these titans exceed the power level of the old ones.  Without the return of the Annihilator mechanic they are much less good for sneaking into play but their “On cast” triggers are head and shoulders above their predecessors. Ulamog shaved a mana off his mana cost but more than doubled his cast trigger’s effectiveness.  I think this titan is unlikely to get banned in EDH and will become a colorless staple in almost every deck in the future.  For a large amount of mana, Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger allows any casual player to remove a problematic permanent regardless of the colors they normally play.  The icing on the cake is that his ability is mostly uncounterable as well.  I’m a pretty big believer that Ulamog will be a great pickup in the next week or two.

ulamog foil

Wait a second.  Why is this Ulamog going in the wrong direction?  A lot of casual players (or Commander players) that would be more likely to purchase a foil Ulamog are also much more inclined to wait for it to hit rock bottom.  Where is that?  I have no idea but I would definitely keep an eye out for the price of this in the coming weeks.  I find it hard to believe it will continue to fall even though it is Standard and Modern playable.  In fact, I think it is likely a better investment if you want to hold them longer term.  We’ve seen from Kozilek, Butcher of Truth, that foil prices tend to fall a lot less harshly in the event of a reprint.

cyclonic rift

It’s hard to find a more modern (Post Innistrad) casual card that continues to hold value and grow but Cyclonic Rift is a great example.  It saw a reprint in Commander 2014 which crashed the price of the non-foil from almost $7 to $3.  The foil saw a minor stutter and then continued it’s trend upward, regaining all of the ground it lost compared to only the $0.50 that the non-foil gained.  While I’m not exactly sure how they could reprint Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger in a supplementary product, it is almost guaranteed to not be foil.

The X Factor

IMG_20151117_192404

Is this real? My best guess is probably.  How people react to it’s official spoiling is the real question.  While Emrakul, the Aeon’s Torn is banned in Commander, the other 3 titan cards are not (yet).  This could cause renewed interest in making a colorless Commander deck because now you won’t just get completely blown out by Wave of Vitriol (for example).  The official spoiler of this could cause a run on very popular colorless cards and it would be wise to be aware of which Standard legal ones you may own.

Standard Notables

  • Conduit of Ruin ( foil )
  • Sanctum of Ugin
  • Shrine of the Forsaken Gods
  • Ugin, The Spirit Dragon
  • Oblivion Sower
  • Void Winnower

Older Notables

  • Metalworker (on reserve list)
  • All is Dust (very popular sweeper ; at lowest price in years )
  • Everflowing Chalice (FNM Foil)
  • Karn Liberated (lowest price points – very powerful)

As Jason Alt has recommended,  I would keep an eye out on Edhrec.com to see what cards become more popular as newer Commander decks are built.

The week in review:

reiterate

Reiterate is a card that has always had a pretty low supply point and has been maturing nicely over the years but the new UR Commander deck caused a buying frenzy that continues to have very odd prices show up on TCGplayer.  Due to the fact that there are no more Grands Prix for the rest of the year, it will take some time for it come down from the $12-14 price point it is on TCGplayer.  Vendors don’t have a great way to restock this card but I expect it to end up settling around $5-6 when all is said and done.

top

Another SCG Legacy Open caused another wave of complaints about how Sensei’s Divining Top slows down the format.  I will reiterate my point in earlier articles, I don’t want to hold these if they are an investment.  If you play with them it’s not a big deal but keeping a lot of money tied up in a controversial uncommon doesn’t sound like a great idea to me.  I’m not sure it will get banned but I’m not sure there is a lot of reason to take that chance.

Grinder Finance – One win from the Pro Tour

While you usually come here to see my articles about MTG Finance, Corbin suggested I take the week off to talk about playing in Grand Prix Pittsburgh.  While I didn’t end up getting a Pro Tour invite from this past weekend, I did learn a lot about using your time wisely in a tournament.  And everyone knows time is money.

What did I play?

visual decklist

I played Naya Burn and for a very good reason.  My mental and physical fortitude was going to be tested in 15 or more rounds of Magic.  If you are not an expert Modern player, it’s hard to recommend any deck that is likely to go to time in the round throughout the tournament.  Burn has a pretty favorable matchup against most of the popular decks in the format.  Almost every 3 color deck is a walk in the park due to the pain from the mana base.  If and when a Scars styled fastland comes out for UR or BG combinations this may not be true.  You can compete with non-interactive combo decks like Bloom, Storm, Ad Nausem, and Goryo’s Vengeance decks by relying on a quick clock and Eidolon of the Great Revel.  Tron typically beats up on your worst matchups and often can’t mount any kind of defense before turn 3.  The move toward Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy and away from heavy counter spell decks made Burn a great choice for this weekend.

Card choices

I didn’t play Wild Nacatl.  While I think there is some place for “Cat Burn,” I don’t think this is a good time to be playing it.  The fact that Nacatl doesn’t have haste and people are more likely to have an answer before it can attack means it is often a liability.  The Searing Blazes over performed all weekend.  There are not many decks that have no targets but when you are able to get landfall, it is a complete blowout.  You are more likely to lose to decks that block your Goblin Guide than those that kill it.  Also, unlike Draconic Roar, you can’t counter Searing  Blaze by sacrificing the targeted creature.

The Sideboard

To be honest, some matches I didn’t sideboard any cards.  I may have gone a little overboard on things I didn’t end up playing.

  • Searing Bloods are great against the mirror, Elves, Affinity, Birds of Paradise decks, and are reasonable against infect. I wanted to make sure my good matchups stayed good and had some flexible cards for bad ones.
  • Deflecting Palm is a card that I think is pretty underrated as a sideboard option. It’s pretty good against Emrakul, Griselbrand, Tarmogoyf, Wurmcoil Engine, and Eidolon of the Great Revel, and Valakut the Molten Pinnacle but you have to be in a pretty vulnerable position to use it.   The downside is it’s miserable to draw more than one.
  • Molten Rain on the play is good against some decks. I don’t bring them in on the draw as they tend to be too slow and difficult to cast.  On the play it can punish a 3 color deck, Tron, or Amulet just long enough to get a win.
  • Destructive Revelry was fine this weekend. 4 is probably too many but I didn’t draw any against Affinity.
  • Smash to Smithereens is great against Tron and Affinity. It’s really just a 5th Destructive Revelry in those matchups.
  • Path to Exile was great. I think 3 is just the right number.  Drawing 2 feels miserable but drawing one is usually a blow out.  It’s not as clean as Self-Inflicted Wound against Tarmogoyf but I like it’s flexibility more.  I typically bring them in against anything Tarmogoyf decks, Twin, Tron (on the draw only), and any deck I suspect will play Kitchen Finks or Kor Firewalker.

Missing notables

  • Kor Firewalker is only really good in the mirror. You aren’t guaranteed to draw one and there are many other axis you can fight the mirror on.  My plan was to bring in Searing Blood and Deflecting Palm to keep their creatures off the board and counter their burn spells.
  • Blood Moon is too hard to cast. It doesn’t really do anything unless you have a creature in play and then it’s only marginally impactful.
  • Ancient Grudge may be a consideration next time. It doesn’t do any damage like Revelry or Smash to Smithereens but you’re also not just dead to a Spell Pierce.
  • Rending Volley is just worse than Path to Exile most of the time. There’s no reason to play this.

Matchups:

Round 1: Bye on Nothing – It was a tough battle but I managed to pull out a 2-0 win.  He shamefully dropped after the round.

Record 1-0

Round 2: Luke Bartosik on R/G Tron – This is a great way to start a tournament.  I won the die roll and proceeded to ruin his morning by attacking before his first turn with Goblin Guide.  His natural turn 3 Tron had no Wurmcoil Engine so the game ended shortly there after.  Game 2 he made a mistake of cracking his Expedition map using the colorless from both of his Grove of the Burnwillows.  This gave me an opportunity to seal the deal without fear of a Nature’s Claim.

Record 2-0

Round 3: Roman Fusco on Jund:  This was another great matchup for me.  An early creature followed by a flurry of burn spells ended game 1.  Game 2 I played an Eidolon after taking 6 damage from my lands by turn 2.  I then proceeded to take 8 damage from my Eidolon while my opponent cast a bunch of 4-6 mana spells.  The final Boros Charm put me to 3.

Record 3-0

Round 4: Matt Tumavitch on Affinity : This matchup is miserable if they draw a Cranial Plating or a Vault Skirge.  This matchup is usually unwinnable if they draw both.  Vault Skirge dispatched me quickly.

Record 3-1

Round 5: Ben Rasmussen on Jund: Okay back to Tarmogoyf and friends.  Game 1 went better than excepted as he got stuck on 1 land and Goblin Guide showed him his future of no additional lands.  Game 2 was rather close, I suspended two rift bolts with him at 4, expecting to win short of a Thragtusk.  After he -2 Liliana of the Veil targeting himself (sacrificing Kitchen Finks) and played Huntmaster I had to draw another spell to win the game.  Luckily, my deck is ~ 50% spells that do damage to my opponent.

Record 4-1

Round 6: Eric Feltner on Temur Twin: Three color mana bases are great for me.  He won the die roll but lead by fetchling a Steam Vents with a Scalding Tarn to play Grim Lavamancer, essentially saving me a whole spell.  Blind Fetch / Shock is one of the easiest ways for Burn to get ahead even if they’re on the draw.  Game 2 he played a Scavenging Ooze and that is actually way more terrifying than Tarmogoyf in most situations.  I was lucky to dispatch is quickly with a Searing Blaze and picked up another win.

Record 5-1

Round 7: Eric Blanchet on UR Twin: This is the point in the article where I had to go back and write last names because I had two opponents in a row named Eric playing twin.  This match went to three games as Burn really has no ability to play around the combo.  The crucial turn in the last game was me deciding if I should suspend my Rift Bolt or leave my Sacred Foundry untapped to represent a removal spell.  Ultimately I couldn’t beat a counter spell and a twin and if he just had a counter spell then not suspending the Rift Bolt just makes my next turn worse.  I dodged the untap, twin and won on the back of overloading their counter magic with sorcery speed burn.

Record 6-1

Round 8: Aryeh Wiznitzer on R/G Tron:  The greatest hits keep on coming and after keeping a really awkward hand with only a Lavamancer as my only creature I take a quick game 1.  After game 1 we got deck checked and Aryeh, a competitor from the top 8 of Atlanta last weekend, lamented on his loss last round to Burn.  After we got our decks back and he mulliganed to 5, I was a favorite to take the match in record time.  My turn 1 Goblin Guide into turn 2 Smash to Smithereens on his Spellskite would have been hard to beat on 7.  After another good matchup, I am locked up to play tomorrow.

Record 7-1

Round 9: Stephen Berrios on Grixis Twin: I had not played this matchup yet but got slowly killed game 1 after keeping a 1 land hand and having it tapped multiple turns in a row by Pestermite and Deceiver Exarch.  Before the end of the game he played a Thought Scour on himself and put 2 Splinter Twin into his graveyard.  “Score one for the good guys,” I chided.  We had a short discussion on whether Twin or Burn was the good guy.  Game 2 I won with a turn 1 Goblin Guide into a turn 2 Eidolon of the Great Revel.  He declined to Terminate it on his main phase so when I attacked I was able to Boros Charm to keep it alive.  The damage is a wash (since the Eidolon gets in for another 2 and then deals 2 more on the next removal spell) unless he draws a big blocker or doesn’t play more 3 or less mana spells.  I ended up ahead in that exchange as his next turn was Snapcaster Mage + Lightning Bolt to kill the Eidolon.  Game 3 was another haste creature followed by a flurry of spells.  Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy makes these decks more likely to play removal than counter spells and makes it extremely difficult to interact with Burn.

Record 8-1

At the end of the first day I did better than expected.  A number of good matchups came my way and I only had to play against Affinity once.  I ran through the rain to the nearest sit down restaurant and stuffed my face before going to sleep.

Day 2:

Round 10: Richard Roberts on Jeskai Kiki-Twin?: I was pretty confused by his deck game 1 because he played a turn 1 Grim Lavamancer off of a fetchland and a shockland.  He didn’t draw any particularly relevant threats and played a Valorous Stance on his Grim Lavamancer when I went to Searing Blaze it.  I figure his deck doesn’t actually play counter magic and take game 1.  Game 2 I missed an opportunity to kill him when he played a Village Bell-Ringer with only red mana untapped.  Luckily he played a Restoration Angel the next turn and I was able to fire off 3 instant speed burn spells to kill him from 8.

Record 9-1

Round 11: Christopher Harabas on UR Twin:  I don’t have good notes on this match but it seems like Goblin Guide revealed multiple Splinter Twins which is never good for them.  Life pad says he probably died because he fetched at 5.  Sorry if you’re reading this Chris!

Record 10-1

Round 12: Robert Cucunato on Affinity: Wheels gotta fall off somewhere, right?  This match took 5 turns after I conceded to the unstoppable Vault Skirge with Cranial Plating.  The upside was I was able to use the other 40 minutes of this round to grab food and use the restroom.  It’s great to be playing burn, right?

Record 10-2

Round 13: Adam Schop on Jund:  This was another typical play all my spells and win the game sorta deal.  I took a minute to decided if I should cast spells on my turn or not and Adam encouraged me to play faster.  I’m not sure how to take that since the matchup took 20 minutes total but whatever.

Record 11-2

Round 14:  Charles League on Abzan Company:  Well if you thought Vault Skirge was bad, I won game 1 after my opponent played 3 Kitchen Finks!  I wasn’t sure if I was in Top 8 contention but I was feeling reasonably good after dispatching someone that gained 12 life that game.  Games 2 I almost lost immediately as he played a Kor Firewalker on turn 2 but a timely Path to Exile dispatched it.  I ended up unable to assemble the exact amount of burn required to kill him before he had infinite life.  Game 3 I kept a 1 land hand on the play with multiple 1 mana spells.  Unfortunately I was unable to draw a second land for many turns and put enough pressure to kill him before he gained infinite life.  Unfortunately decks that “gain infinite life” are a bad matchup.

Record 11-3

Round 15: Matthew Rayes on Grixis Control: Game 1 was one of the longest I had played all weekend.  We were both at 1 after I Searing Blazed his lethal Snapcaster Mage but his follow up Tasigur was better than the fetchland I drew.  Game 2 I got off to an early lead with a Goblin Guide followed by a Grim Lavamancer.  Overloading his removal early allowed both creatures to sneak in some damage and the remaining burn spells put the game away.  Game 3 I played a turn 1 Goblin Guide and his “removal spell” of choice was a Snapcaster Mage doing it’s best Ambush Viper impression.  Unfortunately for him I had the Searing Blaze that was greeted by a audible look of disbelief as he fell to 12 on my 2nd turn of the game.  A few Lava Spikes later and I was packing my cards up getting ready to get on the plane.

Final Thoughts

Modern is a fine format.  It definitely has some rock – paper – scissors type matchups which are unfortunate.  Luck has a lot to do with how often you will win or lose in large tournaments.  That being said, Lava Spike is pretty much the best spell in the deck.  It’s awkward in the fact that it’s a sorcery and only costs 1 mana so it’s very difficult to counter.  It also can’t be redirected to a Spellskite. I think this deck benefits a lot from the Vancouver Mulligan rule as I was able to frequently send back 4 land 3 spell hands and keep 3 land 3 spell hands.  I would recommend it to anyone looking to make a jump into Modern as it’s relatively inexpensive and extremely powerful.