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Brainstorm Brewery Episode 155 – Modo Times, They Are A Changin’

 

Brainstorm Brewery #155 – Modo Times, They Are A-Changin’

 

Get hype. Marcel is back and the gang is firing on all cylinders with a mid-afternoon cast that should have more energy than the usual “record at midnight” shenanigans the gang usually gets up to. There is a lot on the old docket and… look, it’s an episode of Brainstorm Brewery. Do you need to be sold on the cast at this point? Do you trust us to know what we’re doing? Just put this podcast in your head and let us entertain you for an hour.

 

  • Finance 101 is all about when to buy a spec (and when not to)
  • How did Origins impact Standard and Modern?
  • BIG changes coming to MODO. Who’s impacted? Find out, nerd.
  • We read some e-mails! Finally!
  • Pick of the week!
  • Support our Patreon! DO IT. You know this cast makes you more than $1 a week
  • Need to contact us? Hit up BrainstormBrew@gmail.com

MTGFinance: What We’re Buying & Selling This Week (July 22/15)

By James Chillcott (@MTGCritic)

One of the most common misconceptions about folks involved in MTGFinance is that we are constantly manipulating the market and feeding players misinformation to help fuel achievement of our personal goals.

It has occurred to us at MTGPrice that though we dole out a good deal of advice, most of you ultimately have very little insight into when and why our writing team actually puts our money where our collective mouths are pointing. As such running this weekly series breaking down what we’ve been buying and selling each week and why. These lists are meant to be both complete and transparent, leaving off only cards we bought for personal use without hope of profit. We’ll also try to provide some insight into our thinking behind the specs, and whether we are aiming for a short (<1 month), mid (1-12 month), or long (1 year+) term flip. Here’s what we we’ve been up to this week:

Buying Period: July10th – July 18th, 2015

Note: All cards NM unless otherwise noted. All sell prices are net of fees unless noted.

James Chillcott (@MTGCritic)

As you probably heard I bought a huge MTG collection recently. As such my purchases are likely to be pretty mellow until I get out the other side of the eventual flip. We finished cataloging the collection this week, and the total TCGLow (NM) value ended up being almost bang on $40K. Given that the cost was just over $14K, with about $250 in expenses, we’re now in very good position to make some cash. More on that in a forthcoming Part 2 to the article.

BOUGHT

  • 4x Abbot of Keral Keep (Foil) @ $11

I continue to believe that the Abbot is one of the most underrated cards in the set vs. it’s eventual play value. I’ve been testing a Modern URw Delver build with Bolt, Path, Probe, Snaps, Delver, Young Pyromancer, etc, and in my experience the card almost always does what I want it to. Sometimes he’s just an early drop that’s tough to block while I’m holding removal or cantrips, and a bit later in the game, he turns into solid card advantage, that can roll right into snapping the drawn card back for a second lap. In Legacy and Vintage, there also seems to be potential. If I wasn’t all over the Super Collection I’d be all over more of these. There’s even a solid chance it won’t perform in standard, and that foils will be down to $6 or so in the next few months on low Modern activity and relatively few chances to break out.

SOLD

  • 1x Aether Vial (Foil, Darksteel) @ $78
  • 1x Squirrel Token (Odyssey) @ $12
  • 1x Spirit Token (Planeshift) @ $8
  • 1x Pyroclasm (Foil, 7th) @ $45
  • 1x Defense of the Heart (Foil) @ $40
  • 1x Sensei’s Divining Top (Foil) @ $100
  • 1x Daze (Foil) @ $120
  • 4x Wasteland @ $55/per

These are all chip shots made off of the top of the Super Collection to folks who pinged me early on Twitter. At this point the move is to try and out the entire collection to a vendor, but if the $40K value becomes an issue, we can keep carving into the stash until the collection becomes bite sized for more vendors.

Jim Casale (@Phrost_)

BOUGHT

  • 26x Gilt-Leaf Winnower @ $1.30/per

Jim says:

“I bought 26 copies of Gilt-Leaf Winower for $1.30. Apparently I should have bought Thopter Spy Network.  I think the winower will pick up more steam in the future because a lot of standards’ best creatures are non equal p/t and it has a relevant tribal type.”

Douglas Johnson (@roseofthorns)

BOUGHT

  • 24x Ad Nauseum @ 2.60/per

Douglas says:

“I’m in on Ad Nauseam for 270 Pucapoints each, and $2.50 each from ABUgames. I have around two dozen copies. If Living End can cheese its’ way to $13, there’s no way this doesn’t hit $7-8 in the near future. All it takes is one event for it to do well, and it and/or Phyrexian Unlife will each triple in price.”

Guo Heng Chin (@theguoheng)

BOUGHT

  • 4x Woodland Bellower @ $6.57/per
  • 2x Narset Transcendent @$6.57/per
  • 1x Abbot of Keral Keep @ $3.15/per
  • 2x Dragon Whisperer @ $1.58/per
  • 1x Shaman of the Great Hunt @ $1.58/per
  • 2x Shaman of the Great Hunt (Foil) @ $3.29/per

Guo says:

“I do not know how many people actually buy the calls I make, but I know at least one person who does, and that’s me! I was very bullish on Woodland Bellower in my Magic Origins Mythic Review Part II and I’ve decided to pick up a playset for my own use at this price. I’m still looking to acquire more, and would continue to do so as long as the bear-stag remains under $10. You’re telling me that a 6 mana for 6/5 that comes together with a Deathmist Raptor or a Courser of Kruphix is under $10?

Narset Transcendent is another card I mentioned in one of my recent articles. The two Narset complete my playset of non-foil Narset. As I’ve mentioned in my article, I think Narset will be a key planeswalker in UWx decks post-rotation and I would like to have access to a full playset before that happens. I’m still looking to pick up more Narsets at her current price.

Abbot of Keral Keep was the first Magic Origins card I own. I was initially dismissive of Abbot but a few players I respect were bullish on it and I’ve decided to start assembling a playset for myself. You know, just in case.

The Dragon Whisperers were the only card I was missing from Dylan Hysen’s Red Devotion which top 8ed the previous SCG Open (http://sales.starcitygames.com/deckdatabase/displaydeck.php?DeckID=87167). Red Devotion was the deck that I’ve had the best results with back in 2013, and it would be nice to be able to run it out again a few more times during its sunset months. That would probably be my go-to aggro deck if Mardu Dragons becomes unviable in the post-Languish meta.

Shaman of the Great Hunt was one of the cards that Corbin mentioned in his article this Thursday. I could not believe that Shaman is so cheap now. Shaman’s a pretty solid creature with multiple abilities and is a mythic from a small set, so picking up Shaman at his current price seems too good to be true. I picked up two foils as the foils are only a little bit more expensive than the non-foils. Now I just need one more foil on top of the one I have from redemption to complete my playset. Shout-out to Corbin for bringing Shaman to my attention.”
Note: The rest of the guys were quiet this week.

So there you have it. Now what were you guys buying and selling this week and why?

James Chillcott is the CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.

ADVERTISEMENT: Get the Cube Starter Bundle with the 3rd Edition Grimoire Deck Box, the brand new Grimoire Deck Box designed specifically for the red mage in you.

Tarkir Block Spread Analysis

This week I’m going to take a look at the spreads on top cards from Tarkir block to see if there are any interesting trends that should be noted, especially since Magic Origins has been released.

 

Some background on spreads for the unfamiliar (reposted from an older article of mine):

 

Getting the Spread – To calculate the spread, you calculate the percentage difference between a store’s buylist price and the fair trade price of that same card. The smaller the spread value the more demand a store, or several stores, is driving for a particular card. Examples to demonstrate my point (prices out of date in calc):

 

Flooded StrandFair Trade Price – $19.99Best Buylist Price – $14.25Spread = 1-($14.25/$19.99)28.71% Sarkhan, the DragonspeakerFair Trade Price – $13.29Best Buylist Price – $7.40Spread = 1-($7.40/$13.29)44.32%

 

Negative Spread – There are two types of negative spread, Natural Arbitrage and Market Force Arbitrage. Natural arbitrage is the difference between one store’s demand of a card compared to another store’s demand. Market force arbitrage is when the market value of a card’s price is lower than a specific store’s buylist. Market force arbitrage lasts shortly but can be more profitable. Natural arbitrage is something I’m more inclined to analyze because this gives us enough time to pick up as many copies as we’re willing to invest in a card before the market corrects itself on the price. Market force arbitrage might make great sound bites on Twitter, but natural arbitrage is going to give you the most value over time.

Khans of Tarkir

 

Mythic Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Sorin, Solemn Visitor M $8.09 $5.99 $3.50 $4.30 $5.30 56.74% 46.85% 34.49%
Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker M $4.85 $4.25 $1.50 $1.70 $2.62 69.07% 64.95% 45.98%
Anafenza, the Foremost M $3.91 $3.00 $1.00 $1.56 $0.00 74.42% 60.10% 100.00%
See the Unwritten M $3.00 $3.10 $1.00 $1.07 $1.35 66.67% 64.33% 55.00%
Wingmate Roc M $2.85 $3.00 $0.50 $1.07 $0.00 82.46% 62.46% 100.00%
Clever Impersonator M $2.48 $2.29 $0.50 $1.13 $1.10 79.84% 54.44% 55.65%
Sidisi, Brood Tyrant M $1.92 $1.22 $0.25 $0.54 $0.00 86.98% 71.88% 100.00%
Ashcloud Phoenix M $1.36 $1.29 $0.25 $0.40 $0.00 81.62% 70.59% 100.00%
Surrak Dragonclaw M $1.36 $0.99 $0.25 $0.48 $0.56 81.62% 64.71% 58.82%
Hooded Hydra M $1.30 $1.49 $0.25 $0.63 $0.60 80.77% 51.54% 53.85%
Narset, Enlightened Master M $1.00 $1.06 $0.25 $0.28 $0.47 75.00% 72.00% 53.00%
Pearl Lake Ancient M $0.98 $0.99 $0.00 $0.26 $0.00 100.00% 73.47% 100.00%
Zurgo Helmsmasher M $0.93 $0.79 $0.00 $0.21 100.00% 77.42%
Empty the Pits M $0.85 $0.79 $0.00 $0.23 $0.00 100.00% 72.94% 100.00%
Ugin’s Nexus M $0.84 $1.00 $0.00 $0.19 $0.26 100.00% 77.38% 69.05%

Chart (click to view higher res)

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.13.52 PM

Rare Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Polluted Delta R $18.84 $14.99 $12.00 $10.00 36.31% 46.92%
Flooded Strand R $16.19 $12.50 $10.00 $9.77 $9.00 38.23% 39.65% 44.41%
Wooded Foothills R $15.11 $11.75 $8.00 $8.00 47.05% 47.05%
Windswept Heath R $14.02 $11.00 $7.00 $8.79 $8.00 50.07% 37.30% 42.94%
Bloodstained Mire R $11.86 $8.50 $7.00 $6.50 40.98% 45.19%
Dig Through Time R $5.83 $3.49 $3.00 $3.15 $0.00 48.54% 45.97% 100.00%
Siege Rhino R $4.27 $3.00 $1.00 $2.16 $0.00 76.58% 49.41% 100.00%
Rattleclaw Mystic R $1.87 $1.79 $0.25 $0.69 $0.50 86.63% 63.10% 73.26%
Bloodsoaked Champion R $1.75 $0.99 $0.25 $0.60 $0.79 85.71% 65.71% 54.86%
Hardened Scales R $1.14 $0.99 $0.10 $0.50 $0.31 91.23% 56.14% 72.81%
End Hostilities R $1.01 $0.99 $0.10 $0.15 $0.43 90.10% 85.15% 57.43%
Utter End R $0.96 $0.99 $0.10 $0.34 $0.52 89.58% 64.58% 45.83%
Jeskai Ascendancy R $0.88 $0.99 $0.10 $0.26 $0.00 88.64% 70.45% 100.00%
Rakshasa Deathdealer R $0.86 $0.99 $0.10 $0.24 $0.00 88.37% 72.09% 100.00%
Crackling Doom R $0.81 $0.99 $0.10 $0.22 $0.27 87.65% 72.84% 66.67%
Mantis Rider R $0.80 $0.99 $0.10 $0.23 $0.27 87.50% 71.25% 66.25%
Crater’s Claws R $0.66 $0.99 $0.00 $0.18 $0.25 100.00% 72.73% 62.12%
Altar of the Brood R $0.61 $1.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.18 100.00% 90.16% 70.49%
Deflecting Palm R $0.59 $0.99 $0.10 $0.17 $0.00 83.05% 71.19% 100.00%
Savage Knuckleblade R $0.53 $0.99 $0.00 $0.10 $0.28 100.00% 81.13% 47.17%

Chart

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.30.24 PM

 

 

Notes

 

When looking at the mythics, I am shocked at the amount that are $2 or less retail. When looking at buylist prices the highest buylist offering on any of the mythics from Khans is Sorin, Solemn Visitor at $5. This tells me that there is definitely potential in the mythics from Khans to spike once Theros rotates from Standard. The cheaper mythics are starting to get fairly close to buylist, which is is a good time to speculate.

 

The mythics have a fairly linear decline in buylist prices the cheaper they get in retail, which means that right now the retail price of the mythics reflects their actual demand in Standard. Many of the mythics have power but just haven’t found a home in a deck yet. Cards like Wingmate Roc have previously shown that they can be excellent in Standard however the spread is still rather high. Many financiers, including myself, believe in the power of See the Unwritten due to the announcement of Battle of Zendikar and the expected spike in price once massive Eldrazi are revealed and players want to start brewing with the card.

 

When looking at the rares the spreads become much more obvious for deciding which cards are going to be in demand in the next Standard. All of the fetchlands have the lowest spreads, which is expected considering their eternal applications in addition to being in heavy demand in Standard. I think we can say based on these numbers that besides Windswept Heath (which just received a clash pack printing) that the fetchlands aren’t going down in price anymore. Pick up your copies now if you want them at their cheapest.

 

The next five rares that have the lowest spreads in general are Dig Through Time, Siege Rhino, Rattleclaw Mystic, Bloodsoaked Champion, and Hardened Scales. The first three cards are going to be great in post-Theros Standard however Bloodsoaked Champion and Hardened Scales is an interesting to see in the top five lowest spreads. Both cards must have significant casual demand. Hardened Scales is a sleeper favorite among many in the mtgfinance community for being a great long term pickup. Unfortunately, Bloodsoaked Champion had an event deck printing so the price cap is going to low on that guy moving forward.

 

Fate Reforged

 

Mythic Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon M $27.09 $24.49 $15.00 $15.55 $0.00 44.63% 42.60% 100.00%
Monastery Mentor M $14.98 $11.79 $8.00 $8.82 46.60% 41.12%
Soulfire Grand Master M $9.07 $7.06 $5.00 $3.58 $5.85 44.87% 60.53% 35.50%
Whisperwood Elemental M $6.98 $5.00 $2.50 $2.37 $0.00 64.18% 66.05% 100.00%
Warden of the First Tree M $3.77 $3.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.18 73.47% 60.21% 42.18%
Brutal Hordechief M $2.77 $1.99 $0.50 $1.05 $0.00 81.95% 62.09% 100.00%
Shaman of the Great Hunt M $2.05 $1.89 $0.25 $0.77 $0.00 87.80% 62.44% 100.00%
Temporal Trespass M $1.45 $1.45 $0.25 $0.34 $0.00 82.76% 76.55% 100.00%
Torrent Elemental M $1.19 $1.19 $0.25 $0.32 $0.76 78.99% 73.11% 36.13%
Ghastly Conscription M $0.82 $0.99 $0.00 $0.19 $0.21 100.00% 76.83% 74.39%

 

Chart (click to view higher res)

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.13.32 PM

 

 

Rare Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Tasigur, the Golden Fang R $8.50 $6.99 $5.00 $4.78 $4.61 41.18% 43.76% 45.76%
Crux of Fate R $2.49 $1.99 $0.50 $0.69 $0.00 79.92% 72.29% 100.00%
Mardu Strike Leader R $1.37 $0.99 $0.10 $0.31 $0.49 92.70% 77.37% 64.23%
Outpost Siege R $1.00 $0.99 $0.10 $0.26 $0.00 90.00% 74.00% 100.00%
Silumgar, the Drifting Death R $0.93 $1.37 $0.10 $0.27 $0.00 89.25% 70.97% 100.00%
Mastery of the Unseen R $0.75 $0.99 $0.10 $0.09 $0.00 86.67% 88.00% 100.00%
Citadel Siege R $0.65 $0.99 $0.10 $0.19 $0.25 84.62% 70.77% 61.54%
Flamewake Phoenix R $0.64 $1.00 $0.10 $0.10 $0.00 84.38% 84.38% 100.00%
Crucible of the Spirit Dragon R $0.58 $1.00 $0.00 $0.17 $0.17 100.00% 70.69% 70.69%
Kolaghan, the Storm’s Fury R $0.58 $1.00 $0.10 $0.10 $0.21 82.76% 82.76% 63.79%
Atarka, World Render R $0.55 $1.00 $0.10 $0.10 $0.28 81.82% 81.82% 49.09%
Frontier Siege R $0.54 $0.99 $0.00 $0.08 $0.00 100.00% 85.19% 100.00%
Soulflayer R $0.49 $0.99 $0.00 $0.10 $0.00 100.00% 79.59% 100.00%
Dromoka, the Eternal R $0.47 $1.00 $0.00 $0.00 100.00% 100.00%
Alesha, Who Smiles at Death R $0.45 $0.99 $0.10 $0.05 $0.00 77.78% 88.89% 100.00%
Monastery Siege R $0.45 $1.00 $0.00 $0.24 $0.16 100.00% 46.67% 64.44%

 

Chart

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.30.46 PM

 

 

Notes

 

While Khans had a more defined linear decline in rare prices, Fate Reforged has a much more drastic decline in mythic prices with Ugin leading the pack as one of the most expensive mythics in Standard. Fate Reforged mythic prices more accurately represent what I expect when looking at mythics since more than half of them have a fair trade price above $2. Spreads on Ugin, Monastery Mentor, and Soulfire Grand Master are all favorable right now across large retailers. Whisperwood Elemental has a higher spread however it could still be a great card moving into the post-Theros Standard. Cards with higher spreads that could still see a reasonable amount of play include Warden of the First Tree, Brutal Hordechief, and Shaman of the Great Hunt though depending on how Standard shakes out these could also be misses based on current store demand.

 

Besides Tasigur, all of the rares in Fate Reforged have insanely high spreads right now. Tasigur is starting to climb up in price so like Khans fetches now is the time to get in on cheap Tasigurs. Many rares are super cheap though like Mastery of the Unseen. Like Khans mythics, there seems to be potential in the rares of Fate Reforged since so many of them are below $1.

 

Dragons of Tarkir

 

Mythic Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Deathmist Raptor M $23.57 $0.00 $12.00 $13.83 $0.00 49.09% 41.32% 100.00%
Dragonlord Ojutai M $18.45 $0.00 $10.00 $7.04 $12.13 45.80% 61.84% 34.25%
Dragonlord Atarka M $10.41 $0.00 $5.00 $5.71 $6.07 51.97% 45.15% 41.69%
Narset Transcendent M $10.02 $0.00 $4.00 $4.43 $0.00 60.08% 55.79% 100.00%
Dragonlord Dromoka M $7.99 $0.00 $3.50 $4.62 $5.76 56.20% 42.18% 27.91%
Sarkhan Unbroken M $7.59 $7.99 $3.50 $4.71 $4.15 53.89% 37.94% 45.32%
Dragonlord Silumgar M $7.19 $0.00 $2.00 $3.57 $0.00 72.18% 50.35% 100.00%
Dragonlord Kolaghan M $3.80 $0.00 $2.26 $0.00 40.53% 100.00%
Shaman of Forgotten Ways M $2.46 $0.00 $0.50 $1.22 $1.08 79.67% 50.41% 56.10%
Dragon Whisperer M $2.44 $0.00 $0.50 $1.09 $0.00 79.51% 55.33% 100.00%
Shorecrasher Elemental M $2.44 $0.00 $0.50 $0.62 $0.00 79.51% 74.59% 100.00%
Ojutai Exemplars M $2.25 $0.00 $0.25 $0.61 $0.00 88.89% 72.89% 100.00%
Risen Executioner M $2.19 $0.00 $0.25 $0.93 $0.92 88.58% 57.53% 57.99%
Descent of the Dragons M $1.64 $0.00 $0.25 $0.84 $0.89 84.76% 48.78% 45.73%
Clone Legion M $0.87 $0.00 $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 100.00% 67.82% 64.37%

 

Chart (click to view higher res)

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.16.13 PM

Rare Spreads

 

Name Rarity Fair Ebay CFB ABU StrikeZone CFB Spread ABU Spread StrikeZone Spread
Collected Company R $18.31 $0.00 $10.00 $8.18 45.39% 55.32%
Kolaghan’s Command R $9.31 $0.00 $6.00 $5.49 35.55% 41.03%
Den Protector R $6.80 $0.00 $3.50 $3.50 $0.00 48.53% 48.53% 100.00%
Atarka’s Command R $6.51 $0.00 $3.50 $3.61 $4.15 46.24% 44.55% 36.25%
Thunderbreak Regent R $6.05 $0.00 $2.00 $2.97 $0.00 66.94% 50.91% 100.00%
Dromoka’s Command R $5.98 $0.00 $3.00 $3.20 $0.00 49.83% 46.49% 100.00%
Haven of the Spirit Dragon R $4.34 $0.00 $1.50 $2.12 $2.37 65.44% 51.15% 45.39%
Anafenza, Kin-Tree Spirit R $2.45 $0.00 $0.50 $1.10 79.59% 55.10%
Secure the Wastes R $2.45 $0.00 $0.50 $1.09 $1.17 79.59% 55.51% 52.24%
Zurgo Bellstriker R $2.28 $0.00 $0.50 $0.82 $0.00 78.07% 64.04% 100.00%
Avatar of the Resolute R $1.75 $0.00 $0.50 $0.95 $0.85 71.43% 45.71% 51.43%
Icefall Regent R $1.63 $0.00 $0.25 $0.57 $0.00 84.66% 65.03% 100.00%
Sidisi, Undead Vizier R $1.37 $0.00 $0.25 $0.57 $0.00 81.75% 58.39% 100.00%
Stratus Dancer R $1.23 $0.00 $0.25 $0.46 $0.31 79.67% 62.60% 74.80%
Ojutai’s Command R $1.22 $0.00 $0.25 $0.35 $0.37 79.51% 71.31% 69.67%
Surrak, the Hunt Caller R $1.02 $0.00 $0.10 $0.26 $0.00 90.20% 74.51% 100.00%
Hidden Dragonslayer R $0.86 $0.00 $0.10 $0.24 $0.00 88.37% 72.09% 100.00%
Myth Realized R $0.76 $0.00 $0.00 $0.19 $0.42 100.00% 75.00% 44.74%
Arashin Foremost R $0.67 $0.00 $0.10 $0.19 $0.00 85.07% 71.64% 100.00%
Assault Formation R $0.67 $0.00 $0.10 $0.25 $0.31 85.07% 62.69% 53.73%
Dragon Tempest R $0.64 $0.00 $0.10 $0.18 $0.36 84.38% 71.88% 43.75%
Silumgar’s Command R $0.53 $0.00 $0.10 $0.08 $0.26 81.13% 84.91% 50.94%
Dragonlord’s Prerogative R $0.51 $0.00 $0.00 $0.08 $0.00 100.00% 84.31% 100.00%
Sunscorch Regent R $0.51 $0.00 $0.00 $0.19 $0.26 100.00% 62.75% 49.02%
Radiant Purge R $0.48 $0.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.23 100.00% 87.50% 52.08%

 

Chart

Screen Shot 2015-07-18 at 2.30.57 PM

 

 

 

Notes

 

Finally, looking at Dragons of Tarkir we see that prices are still rather high across the board for the various mythics within the set. The mythics are in this set are much more in demand than Khans or Fate Reforged at this point. Deathmist Raptor and Dragonlord Ojutai are leading the pack, and even the five most expensive mythics are all $7-$10 retail. The dragonlords are all really popular too, which is to be expected since their Standard demand on top of causal demand will help buoy their price. Even MTGO redemption hasn’t moved prices that much yet. However, as more and more people continue to redeem throughout the year the prices should continue to drop. No spreads really pop out to me as something that needs to be watched closely.

 

Top rares have more room to drop than mythics. Again, the event deck has capped Collected Company and Dromoka’s Command, while cards like Kolaghan’s Command and Den Protector have a tiny more room to drop as the summer goes on and Dragons continues to saturate the market. Again, like the mythics, nothing really pops up here yet as a cheaper card with a low spread, so the best way to get in on Dragons rares moving forward is going to be watching results closely to see where Magic Origins is taking Tarkir block cards.

 

Wrapping Up

 

That’s my analysis so far of Tarkir Block spreads. Where do you all see Tarkir block cards going based the data, or even your own observations? Magic Origins was released last weekend and the results are already shaking up the format. Plenty of Origins cards are moving one way or the other so which cards are you picking up outside Origins that reflect the new Standard format? As always, I love hearing from you guys in the comments.

 

PROTRADER: Standard Mythic Picks

By Guo Heng

Magic Origins is finally out and Standard is coming back under the limelight after two months of Modern action. Though the Modern PPTQ season is not officially over, Standard is going to be at the forefront of the competitive spotlight as we boldly venture into a new Standard format in the following weeks. And with the Pro Tour coming up, the Standard hype will reach fever heights in no time and it will be an interesting few weeks for #mtgfinance.

Today we are going to take a look at a few Standard mythics. Standard, but not Magic Origins mythics. I shared my thoughts on the Magic Origins mythics in my two reviews last week and the week before. With the bulk of attention laser-focused on Magic Origins right now, a lot of playable Standard mythics from the previous sets are at an all-time low. And that’s what we are going to turn our financial telescopes on. It’s a good time to pick those cards up as most players would be scrambling to get their hands on the flipwalkers, Languish, and Day’s Undoing (I feel sorry for those in the latter camp).

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