Stream of Consciousness

Welcome back, DJ!

Thanks, I needed that. As you might have noticed last Thursday, my content was conspicuously absent from MTGPrice. As a resident assistant for the returning students at my school, I was extremely busy last week with preparing the building, checking new students into the residence hall, and repeating the mandatory training that is drilled into us every year. Although the job is a lot of fun and I highly recommend it to any of my fellow college students who are interested, move-in week certainly takes up a chunk of my time. To all of my fellow college-student MTG financiers, I highly recommend applying for the job at your school. It’s a great experience overall, even though it’s a pretty large time commitment.

Unfortunately, even if I did have time to write an article last week, I didn’t exactly have a specific topic ready and waiting to be scribbled down. In fact, I still don’t have a topic this week. I’m just kind of winging it right now, because I’m pretty apathetic about most of Magic right now.

Apathy

I’m not one to obsess over the angels in the new From the Vault, everyone else has already written about the fetch lands and their Battle for Zendikar predictions, and I think I’ve exhausted your patience for “articles concerning my weekly collection buying and organizational processes” in the past couple of months (seriously though, if you guys/girls want to read about more of that stuff, I can do that. I love writing about collection buying). So let’s just see where this goes, okay?

More Fetch Land Talk

Actually, you know what? I do want to talk about fetch lands, even though the spike was a billion weeks ago at this point. In recent news,  there was a fake leak of enemy Zendikar fetches being spoiled at PAX. After several diligent researchers determed that the art was cherry-picked from various other internet sources, the frenzy quieted down. If you’re one of the people who bought a huge number of fetches before the spike and had a miniature heart attack at the sight of the faked announcement due to still owning a couple thousand dollars worth of fetch lands, that was your warning shot.

Warning

I’m still advocating unloading these now instead of waiting a few months, as I think there’s a high probability of Wizards including the five lands in the second set of the block. If you wait too long into BFZ to sell them, then you won’t be able to find any buyers as everyone will be holding off until Sweat is released. Lock in the profits now and you can have cash on hand just in case someone comes up to you to sell a collection. I still have some Zendikar fetches left over that I picked up from the story I’m about to tell you, and the few seconds of jump scare made me realize I need to pick up the pace on selling them.

Sticker Time

While we’re on the subject of fetches, I’d like everyone to gather ’round for story time. We’re traveling back a billion weeks ago to the day of the “enemy fetchlands will not be in Battle for Zendikar” announcement, in a small town called Camden, New York. The closest LGS is 30 minutes away, but at least this one has a singles display case, stocked with staples. Although our weekly EDH night didn’t start until 6:00 p.m., I wanted to get there early and see if the shop had any fetches in its display case at a reasonable price. This was right in the middle of the buyout, with SCG being bought out not even an hour before.

I arrived at the store and noticed that they still had quite a few fetches in stock: Misty Rainforestfor $35, Marsh Flats for $25, Verdant Catacombs for $34, and Scalding Tarns for $54.  Excellent. There were no Arid Mesas, but you can’t have everything. I inspected the condition to make sure they were all NM and gave the employee my card to swipe. I told him that I was purchasing all of these fetch lands because I expected them to be worth a lot more by the end of the day, and I ended up being correct (for once). One of the main reasons I’ve kept coming back to this store is that it always honors the sticker price, even if the card has already jumped. I help the store out by pointing out low prices when I’m not going to buy cards, too.

Now, let’s fast forward to the next week. I wanted to buy new binders because the Monster brand ones that I’ve used for the past few years were finally at their limit. I didn’t want to wait a week for them to arrive from Amazon, so I stopped by the LGS once again. This time, I was met with an interesting change in the store: it was no longer labeling its singles with price stickers—one now had to ask an employee for the price of each individual card.

Decree of Pain

I suppose the owner was tired of having people like me buy cards after their actual retail price had already increased. The store certainly loses out on potential income when I buy $5.50  Living Ends, I’m not arguing that point. Then again, I’ve been on the other side of the fence plenty of times, considering I just sold a Cloudstone Curio out of my own display case for $6 before I had the chance to update the price. It’s an unfortunate reality of the business we’re in.

However, I can’t help but wonder if removing the stickers is the best possible move for the store, and I’d love to get your thoughts in the comments section about this. By forcing employees to check the price on every single card sold out of its case, the store loses out on a large number of impulse purchases from players who don’t play nearly as competitively as us vocal minority. I can only assume that an EDH player who is browsing the case for new additions to her decks won’t go through the trouble of asking the price on every single potential candidate—she will narrow her purchase to save on time. It’s much easier for customers to mentally visualize their own budgets and how many cards they can afford when the prices are right in front of them, and this system also removes the joy of finding a card that’s even slightly underpriced, even if it’s only finding a $7 Blood Crypt that was $8 everywhere else one looked. There’s also the employee’s time and effort to take into consideration, because he now has to double-check every single price every time someone asks about a card.

As someone who sold several Goblin Rabblemasters for $7 out of my case while they were $15 everywhere else, I held no animosity or resentment towards the players and financiers who I sold these cards to. What are your thoughts on this?

Uhh…

Alright, so now that that’s out of the way, what else is there to talk about… Hmm.

One with Nothing

End Step

Apparently Hangarback Walker is a $20 Magic: The Gathering card, which upsets me way more than $80 Scalding Tarns. If you own these, I’m still calling to sell them. I mean, I suggested you sell them at $8, then I suggested selling them at $14, so what do I know? All I know is that this card is the same price as Thoughtseize was almost two years ago, and I highly doubt that Walker has the same longevity.

Temple of Epiphany got its second wind for about a week off the back of the UR Artifacts deck, and then everyone realized: “Oh wait, this stupid thing is about to rotate.” I managed to sell off a pile into the hype, but I think that’s just about died down for now. If you want to pick up any other Temples for speculation, you can probably find the cheaper ones at near-bulk prices as everyone else abandons ship. While I’m still staying away from any and all Temples in favor of collection buying, I’ve been wrong before. A lot, actually.

Foil Hive Mind was bought out recently, but I haven’t really heard or seen anything about that. While it might be part of your daily ritual to check the daily interests on MTGStocks, remember to click that foil tab every day as well.

While we’re on the subject of foils, I fully support Travis’s call on foil Tasigur at $30 to $40. While I’m not going to drop several hundred cash dollars on it like he did, I’m going to horde the few copies I already have in my spec box, target them aggressively in trades, and keep a finger on the pulse of the card’s price moving forward.

That’s all I’ve got for this week. If you have anything in particular you’d like me to write about, hit me up. Summer is usually a pretty dull time in Magic finance anyway, until all hell breaks loose with the release of the fall set. Look forward to the next few weeks as spoiler season starts trickling in, as I’ll be helping Jason and Corbin create up-to-date spoiler coverage and tossing my hat into the ring on where I think most of the cards’ prices will end up in the future months! (Spoiler alert: I predict 90 percent of the set will be bulk rares.)

Going Mad – Modern & Legacy & Vintage – OH MY!

By: Derek Madlem

Maybe you spent this last weekend underground, or on a boat, or even on a smaller boat than that (the kind without free WiFi), but there were a couple of fairly substantial tournaments this weekend that you may or may not have heard about.  While you were not glued to the screen honing your Magical craft via proxy Wizarding the rest of us tuned in to see some pretty sweet things happening on coverage.

Leap

My Horse

Since the moment I first saw Evolutionary Leap, I knew the card was abstractly powerful and that it was only a matter of time before someone broke it. I sang praise for Evolutionary Leap from the rooftops and the world was split as to whether this card was hot garbage or hot fire… turns out it might actually be hot fire. Chris VanMeter proved that Evolutionary Leap is not “slower than Chord of Calling” by piloting a sweet elves list that was capable of churning through the entire deck to find and cast Emrakul, the Aeons Torn as early as turn two, thanks entirely to Evolutionary Leap.

How did it this dream scenario string of shenanigans go?

Turn 1: Forest, Nettle Sentinel
Turn 2: Forest, Nettle Sentinel, Heritage Druid…tap for three, play an elf to net some mana and then stick a Cloudstone Curio or Evolutionary Leap to generate as much mana as you could possibly need.

The Evolutionary Leap method sacrificed the elf to burn through and find another elf and net one mana at each step until casting a Regal Force or Emrakul

Cloudstone Curio bounced an elf to replay at a net gain of net two mana per cast, then cast Elvish Visionary and draw the whole deck or just play an Emrakul to end the game.

Vanmeter didn’t crush the open with this deck, but it did do well enough to show “proof of concept” and silence many of the haters. A lackluster performance with a new deck on it’s first outing doesn’t prove it’s bad, it just gives us a baseline to tweak and tune from.

Cloudstone

Evolutionary Leap has only climbed about 25% since this deck showed up on camera while it’s partner in crime, Cloudstone Curio, has casually tripled up. We’ve seen Cloudstone Curio spike before and come back down to Earth, but this time it’s more likely to stick as it’s been tempered in the fires of battle rather than it’s price being based on a theoretical synergy with Beck // Call.

Evolutionary Leap is still a really cheap card in the grand scheme of things (hovering around $2.50 as of writing this article) so it’s not too late to pick up a playset or even a small mountain of them. I’m fairly certain we haven’t seen the last of this card as new innovations are sure to continue bubbling up to the surface. For those keeping score at home this now means that two out of my three pet cards from Magic Origins are seeing some serious action, now I’m just waiting on Woodland Bellower to bring me the Triple Crown.

Abbot

Modern Shakeups?

Ultimately the Modern event was taken down by the format’s greatest antihero: Jund. Herrera’s Jund list featured mostly just the usual suspects but added a little spice with a card I’m pretty fond of: Abbot of Keral Keep. The top 32 decklists of this event show a diverse and robustly healthy format where everybody gets to play pretty much any style of deck they want…and Splinter Twin didn’t even make top 8.

Meanwhile in sunny Philadelphia…

Eternal Weekend was in full bloom with 744 players sleeving up Legacy decks to battle for a really big Tundra and glory. The only thing more surprising than the Legacy turnout was the reality that this event would have been even larger if it wasn’t for the World Magic Cup Qualifier running alongside it, peeling off a non-zero number of players. Reaching 750 players for a non-SCG non-GP event proves that Legacy is alive and well in the hearts of Magic players.

Dig

So what was hot? How about Dig Through Time showing up in six out of the top eight decks and making a strong case for the ban hammer. With so much of the blue’s primary arsenal pairing well with Dig Through Time, it’s hard to imagine a world where Dig doesn’t get banned in Legacy (and likely restricted in Vintage). Dig Through Time is painting itself into a corner financially, quickly turning into a terrible long-term pick with very few chances to curve out. Even the FOIL copies are going to have a hard time paying off big if the only place to play them is going to be Vintage, Cube, and Commander…especially when you factor in the prerelease versions.

But then there’s Splinter Twin…in Legacy. Max Ansbro was able to pilot Splinter Twin to an impressive 10-1 record in the swiss portion of the event. It’s easy to write this off as Max simply being an “archetype master” because Legacy is a format that rewards players for knowing their decks just as much as it does playing a good decks, but dropping only a single match in eleven rounds of swiss at the year’s premiere Legacy event is no small feat. 

splinter twin

What’s this mean for Splinter Twin? It definitely brings the card to center stage and only embolden’s any case against allowing the card to continue being legal in Modern. Do I think that a card being Legacy playable is reason enough to ban it in Modern? If that were the case we’d have seen Abrupt Decay, Tarmogoyf, and Delver of Secrets banned a long time ago. What it does do, though, is amplifies the conversation that’s already being had. Splinter Twin is not disproportionately strong in Modern, but it is an abysmal deck from a user-experience perspective…nobody likes to be on the losing side of “HA HA GOT YOU!” combos backed up with a pile of counter magic.

Ultimately I think that the success of the Legacy Twin deck has more to do with Dig Through Time than it does Splinter Twin so I don’t expect much to happen to the price of Splinter Twin any time soon outside the potential for one of Wizards’ lazy “Pro Tour” bannings just to shake up the format. Banning Splinter Twin in Modern right after reprinting it would be an embarrassing mistake for Wizards so I doubt we even see a shakeup banning at this point.

Dig Through Time having the ability to search up and piece together multiple pieces of combos (however bad) only furthers the case for its banning in Legacy and there’s probably a strong case to be made for restricting it in Vintage for the same reasons.

Jace

Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy has found his way to Legacy and this pretty much sums up how I feel about it:

At this point I’m still just dumbfounded that people continue trying this card but even more so dumbfounded that it keeps showing up in high profile finishes. Did I mention there were also four copies in the 5th place Grixis Control deck for the Modern open?

I’m to the point now where I am almost forced to acknowledge just how good Jace is and take him for a test drive. Apparently Merfolk Looter was just on the cusp of greatness for all these years just waiting for some sweet Delve spells to push it over the top.

I want to say that Jace is probably just a flash in the pan, but it’s starting to look like he might be a multi-format all star in addition to being a casual favorite. I really feel gross typing this: Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy is likely the second best Jace ever printed and as time goes on, we’re going to wish we had those FOILs, so grab them now while they’re only casually stupid-expensive.

Vintage

The slow death of Vintage has been a greatly exaggerated “fact” for years now. This year featured the largest Vintage Championships turnout yet with over 460 players, that’s over a hundred additional players compared to last year’s turnout.

Dack Fayden

Breakout cards in Vintage are often irrelevant as far as #mtgfinance is concerned because the market for these cards just isn’t that deep. That said, there’s a very good reason why FOIL Dack Fayden is nearly ten times the price of a non-FOIL Dack Fayden – Vintage players are willing to spend money.

Hangarback

While it’s easy to point out that Dack Fayden is snowballing in popularity in Vintage, the real breakout card from this event came from Magic OriginsHangarback Walker. Normally I would just pass this off as Vintage being Vintage; ridiculous things happen all the time in Vintage – people attack with Slash Panther, people play a NON-FOIL copy of Polluted Delta from Khans of Tarkir right next to their hand-painted Mox Emerald, some people even go so far as to white-border their entire deck using acetone and an eraser… these people are occasional savages that will occasionally do savage things. Some of these things are easy to ignore, but what I can’t ignore is a card showing up in decks ranging all the way from Standard to Vintage. Enter the Hangarback.

We’ve already seen Hangarback Walker make it’s presence known in Standard and Vintage, and there are murmurings of it’s power in Modern affinity…how long until Hangarback fills in the gaps and shows up in Legacy? When a card has such a strong cross-format appeal, there’s significant upside to picking up FOIL copies – just look at Abrupt Decay as a great example. When a card defies convention and sets up (work)shop in multiple formats, it’s likely to be a player for a long time and I think Hangarback is on the cusp of that level of greatness.


 

PROTRADER: Naval Academy

I recently got to thinking about tutors. Academies are all about tuition. There are a lot of useful tutors in EDH, and they’re absolutely worth talking about at some point, so I decided to make that point today. There are broad tutors, narrow tutors, and very, very narrow tutors, and I want to talk about all of them.

Does this seem out-of-flavor with this series? This series was predicated on identifying emerging cards from newly spoiled sets and seeing how their inclusions in the metagame would shake things up. As their stocks increased due to increased adoption, the surging tide would lift all boats, and buying into those other boats (cards) at their lowest price by anticipating their increased use based on spoiled cards was the name of the game. I’m talking about a broad category of cards as opposed to talking about how one particular printed card would affect prices of other cards.

They’re simple rules. I made the rules. And now I want to break them? What the hell?

What if I told you that this article was predicated not on a card that was going to get printed but rather on a card that was not going to get printed? How do we know? Well, I look at what little we know about Commander 2015 so far.

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ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

PROTRADER: One Thousand American Dollars

By: Travis Allen

You’ve read lots and lots of articles about people’s Khans of Tarkir block picks for the upcoming rotation. Nearly everyone has written one, and when you combine everyone’s suggestions, you end up with a checklist of basically every rare and mythic from the entire block. At that point, it’s hardly useful. Sure, lots of cards are worth considering, but come on, what’s really the card people are putting their money into and banking on? What are the supposed “pros” of this domain doing?

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ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

MAGIC: THE GATHERING FINANCE ARTICLES AND COMMUNITY