The Watchtower 2/20/17

By: Travis Allen
@wizardbumpin


Don’t miss this week’s installment of the MTG Fast Finance podcast, an on-topic, no-nonsense tour through the week’s most important changes in the Magic economy. And if you enjoy playing Magic, make sure to visit https://scry.land to find PPTQs, SCG Opens, and more events on an interactive map with worldwide coverage. Find Magic near you today.


Fans of the best Magic were treated well this weekend, with Modern events in both Brisbane and Vancouver. 18 hours and 12 decklists different, each offered its own perspective on the format. Vancouver was, at least in the top 8, overrun by Sam Black and team’s Death Shadow, with three copies and the hoisted trophy. Over in Brisbane we saw a crowd-displeasing Lantern Control take first, with a pair of Dredge following up, Living End rounding out the top four, and then some more familiar lists to fill.

Overall it’s hard to argue that there isn’t something for everyone. There’s more GP-viable decks in Modern than any other constructed format — Merfolk took second, for God’s sake! — and there are dramatically different play styles available. With Modern Masters 2017 close on the horizon and looking to ease access for new players and provide established players discounted staples, it’s a good time to be in the market to cast modern-bordered cards.

Breaking // Entering

Price Today: $2.50
Possible Price: $10

While Beck // Call was the more immediately exciting fuse card after the reveal of Aether Revolt’s various Expertises, Breaking // Entering is catching up quickly. This weekend a GPT at Vancouver was won by “Expertise Fuse,” which is four Kari Zev’s Expertise, four Sram’s Expertise, four Brain in a Jar, full sets of both fuse cards, some fast mana, and a pile of gigantic monsters to be Entered.

Your overall strategy with the deck is to fuse a Breaking // Entering targeting yourself, flip an Emrakul, the Aeons Torn, and swing with haste. This is technically possible on turn one (thanks to “why isn’t this banned” Simian Spirit Guide), though turns two and three are more likely. Brain in a Jar gives you a repeatable, if slow way to cast the fuse cards, and Beck // Call is there mainly to be tremendous value for a strategy that’s already going through the effort to play it.

From a pricing perspective, there’s a lot of dead ends here. All the monsters (Emrakul, Griselbrand) are basically already saturated. Both of the Expertises are brand new and still in print, which means their prices are going to have a hell of a time climbing. Brain in a Jar is also still very fresh. That card could see some percentage gain, but not enough to gain materially in price. Really, the only two cards in this deck that have meaningful price potential are Beck // Call and Breaking // Entering.

We’ve talked about Beck // Call in the past, so I’m not going to rehash that here. Breaking // Entering is similar, though subtly different. While it doesn’t have the synergy with Elves or other strategies that may really want the Glimpse effect, it is a strong mill card that appeals to casuals independent of Modern viability. It’s also theoretically a stronger card, given that you can in essence put a hasty (and permanent!) Emrakul into play for two mana. That’s basically Goryo’s Vengeance. It’s also more critical to this particular build, though I can’t guarantee that will be the case week in and week out.

Copies are available around $2.50, and supply seems to be drying fairly quickly. There’s less than a page of both the promo copies and the regular ones, so if it isn’t already being bought up because of this emerging strategy, that means that there’s an existing steady demand profile. If that’s the case I like the trajectory even more on this, because there’s not going to be many copies out there for the people that want to play an Expertise strategy. Given how easily Retract is selling at $15, I’m very comfortable with an outside combo deck generating enough demand to sell Breaking // Entering sets at $40.

 


Living End

Price Today: $8
Possible Price: $20

Do you guys remember this deck? Someone at Brisbane did, and he scored fourth place with it. Do you guys also remember that Living End used to cost $15? I do.

The eponymous card of the archetype, this also had new life breathed into it with the introduction of Expertises. Brisbane’s list only played a single Expertise, and still kept to three Living Ends in the main, but that may evolve over time. Hell, we could even see the deck lean into Rishkar’s Expertise as a late-game strategy. Who knows.

What I do know is that Living End is a surprisingly resilient, strong deck that can wreak havoc if a metagame isn’t prepared for it. I’ve lost more than one game to the strategy that involves them simply activating Fulminator Mage four times in four turns. There was a time in the past that it was a strong tier two contender, and with new tools at its disposal, there’s no reason to think it couldn’t come back at any time.

With a former price of $15, we know there’s fertile ground here. There’s fair supply right now, but not enough to field even a couple of players from each state. Another run on this would land it firmly in the $15 to $25 range. Remember, it’s only got one printing, and that was Time Spiral. So long as this doesn’t show up in MM3, it will be one to watch closely.

MTG Fast Finance Podcast: Bonus Interview w/ Dan Bock of PowerNine

Dan Bock is one of the most seasoned veterans of the MTGFinance scene. Originally a binder grinder and team member with Bob Maher’s JapanMagic team in the late 90’s, Dan has also qualified for the Pro Tour four times, including an infamous appearance in 2001 at Pro Tour Tokyo with a deck made up of nothing but Arena basic lands.

That’s a LOT of Black Lotuses.

He later started the Netherworld Games retail shop in the mid-west Magic hot bed of Madison, Wisconsin, USA, alongside former partners Sam Black et al. Striking out on his own in the early 2000’s, Dan built up a very successful Ebay Power Seller business with over 300,000 feedback and millions in platform sales. Via the PowerNine.com brand Dan, with the support of his loving wife Alex, also runs retail booths at major Magic tournaments across the United States, as well as providing consignment style retail services for dozens of collectibles stores across the country. As an admin in the 40, 000 member strong High End Magic group on Facebook, Dan also maintains a near legendary presence in the high end Magic community. With an inventory that includes over 100 Black Lotuses, Bock is also an ongoing symbol of faith in the game we all love.

The high end chops run pretty deep over at PowerNine.

In this far reaching three-hour interview, Dan and I dive into his earliest days in the hobby, the history of MTGFinance, the formative moments in the evolution of his business activities, the state of high end Magic sales, the future of Magic digital and more.

CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.

MTG Fast Finance Podcast: Episode 55 (Feb 17/17)

MTG Fast Finance is our weekly podcast covering the flurry of weekly financial activity in the world of Magic: The Gathering. MFF provides a fast, fun and useful sixty minute format. Follow along with our seasoned hosts as they walk you through this week’s big price movements, their picks of the week, metagame analysis and a rotating weekly topic.

Show Notes: Feb 17, 2017

Segment 1: Top Card Spikes of the Week

Image result for breaking/entering

Breaking//Entering (DGM, Foil Rare)
Start: $3.00
Finish: $10.00
Gain: +$7.00 (+233%)

Colossus of Sardia (ATQ, Rare)
Start: $4.50
Finish: $8.50
Gain: +$4.00 (+89%)

Wheel and Deal (ONS, Foil Rare)
Start: $9.50
Finish: $17.00
Gain: +$7.50 (+79%)

Sleight of Hand (9th, Common Foil)
Start: $40.00
Finish: $70.00
Gain: +$30.00 (+67%)

 

James’ Picks:

Image result for brain in a jar

  1. Brain in a Jar (SOI, Foil Rare)
  • The Call: Confidence Level 7: $3.00 to $10.00 (+7.00/233%) 12+ months)

2. Sram’s Expertise (AER, Foil Rare)

  • The Call: Confidence Level 7: $4.00 to $10.00 (+6.00/+150%, 12+ months)

3. Ancient Tomb (EXP, Premium Foil, EU Sourced)

  • The Call: Confidence Level 8: $90.00 (Target) to $160.00 (+70.00/+78%, 0-12+ months)

Travis’ Picks:

  1. Collected Company (DTK, Rare)
  • The Call: Confidence Level 8: $12.00 to $20.00 (+8.00/+67%, 0-12+ months)

2. Blasphemous Act (INN, Foil Rare)

  • The Call: Confidence Level 6: $6.00 to $15.00 (+9.00/+150%, 0-12+ months)

Disclosure: Travis and James may own speculative copies of the above cards.

Segment 3: Metagame Week in Review

James & Travis reviewed the results of GP Pittsburg and the ongoing presence of BG decks at the top of the Standard power rankings.

Segment 4: Topic of the Week

The guys touched on two new MTGFinance related startups and answered user questions.

CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.

Brainstorm Brewery #226 – Emo Song Lyrics or Archenemy Schemes?

All shall crumble before our dark realms of majesty is either an album with heavy makeup and hair product, or a sweet multiplayer card. Join us as the cast goes further off the rails than normal into a deep discussion about long forgotten oversized cards.  Also, there is a new best standard deck that is not Mardu vehicles.   Find out which cast member had to block a thousand fake twitter followers.   Also we make you some money, get excited for Brainstormbrewery.

  • Something something guest something Douglas Johnson   (@Rose0fthorns)
  • Breaking Bulk is first in DJs heart and first on the cast
  • Standard green black everything is discussed
  • Pick of the Week
  • Superbowl commercial discussion as a nice finisher
  • Support our Patreon! DO IT. You know this cast makes you more than $1 a week
  • Need to contact us? Hit up BrainstormBrew@gmail.com
  • The contact information for Corbin below is still wrong because he did not send an update

Contact Us!

Brainstorm BreweryWebsite – E-mail – TwitterFacebookRSSiTunesStitcher

Corbin Hosler – E-mail – TwitterFacebookMTGPrice

Jason E Alt – E-mail – TwitterFacebookMTGPrice

Douglas Johnson is and will forever be merely a guest

MAGIC: THE GATHERING FINANCE ARTICLES AND COMMUNITY