PROTRADER: The Slow Death of Khans

While browsing last week’s “Interests” over at mtgstocks.com I discovered two trends that immediately caught my eye. The first was rather obvious and has been so for weeks now. The other was perhaps more subtle – it’s this latter observation that I wish to spend more time on today.

But before I dive in to the subtle observation, have you noticed how many old cards are in high demand lately? I count 15 cards in the past week that have risen by at least 5% according to mtgstocks.com. While that site does contain heavy bias towards TCG Player volume, the trend is nonetheless too strong to be simple website manipulation. There is real demand for older cards such as Su-Chi and Erhnam Djinn, both staples of the Old School MTG format.

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expensive cards

ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

PROTRADER: Opportunity (Not the Urza’s Legacy One)

Today is going to be a no-nonsense look at what is very potentially the softest sub-market in Magic for the present and immediate future. The cards that we are going to discuss today are not the only ones worth discussing; this is rather a “teach a person how to fish”approach, where you are able to take the parameters (as well as apply your own!) in order to make informed decisions for yourself. There will be a complementary thread in the forums for you to share your own thoughts and targets, so as to be a more long-lasting (and more secure!) discussion than the comment section (which is typically reserved for you people to tell me how great I am).

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ProTrader: Magic doesn’t have to be expensive.

Pressing Pause On Puca

By: Cliff Daigle

I am pausing in the quest for another Gaea’s Cradle.

Like many people on PucaTrade, I’m a big fan of trading my current Standard cards at full value in order to work towards a larger-value card.

I’ve sent off random stuff that no one in their right mind would ever take in full value towards the Cradle. A playset of Kabira Evangel? New Drana, Liberator of Malakir back when it was at $17? Solid all the way around.

I was about to start sending off my leftover fetch lands when I saw on Twitter that people are buying PucaPoints at the rate of $0.67 per 100 points, or $67 for 10,000 points.

Now I’m quite concerned and I don’t think I am going to be a part of this economy for a little while.

PucaTrade has always allowed people to buy points from them, at the cost of $1 for 100 points, a very easy and direct conversion rate. Their card prices are usually within a few percentage points of MTGPrice’s Fair Trade Price, though they have their own system for establishing that value.

For example, Flooded Strand has a price here of $22.54, while it’s 2156 points on Puca. Seems legit enough, right?

If you have an Uncommon or Rare-level account, you can transfer PucaPoints to other users. This is useful if you want to advertise a bonus for Expeditions lands, or something along those lines. It also allows you to post on assorted social media that your points can be bought, and that is where I start getting concerned.

Let’s go back to Gaea’s Cradle, as it’s been a target of mine for a while.

It’s currently got a FTP of $182, and is worth 17336 PucaPoints. This is the magic and the promise of PucaTrade, because I could trade about 8 Flooded Strands from Khans of Tarkir for one Cradle and I would do that in a heartbeat. Puca has an issue of needing to wait for someone to decide to mail out that Cradle, but that’s not the focus today.

The possible trade of eight Strands for the Cradle presumes that everything is of equal value, but when cash is introduced, the values start to skew.

Let’s look deeper at the Cradle. It’s buylisting for $118 at best, and eBay auctions are closing at about $120, with some variation on condition or bidding wars. That’s very close to 66% of the card’s value when it comes to cash, and that’s in line with expectations. We accept that retail value in a trade is not the same as cash value, and it’s why you should generally run away from people who want to price your cards at buylist.

To a casual player, Puca’s philosophy is that you are getting full value, but if you can buy points at this rate (and it may have farther to fall!) then you won’t be getting the full return. This level of availability for points makes me very nervous. It’s inflationary, and I’m going to leave it to people more versed in economics to explain the cycle and the problems.

The short version is this: If I’m paying full price in trade, I am worried that someone is swooping in and paying two-thirds of its value. I don’t want to be part of this economy, especially if the points start to lower further in cash value.

I’m not calling for the end of PucaTrade. I’m saying that this trend of cash affecting the Puca economy as something that makes me very worried.

It’s true that this is more about my perception, my feelings, my concerns. Cash has always had a warping effect on the Magic economy, and points being sold for two-thirds of their value makes the Puca economy the same as eBay or TCGPlayer or buylists.

From the other end, though, I can’t argue with the value. If you want to acquire cards for less than retail, you’re going to have to pay cash. Buying points is a very easy way to get the points you want without a lot of the legwork.

It seems like such a hassle to me, though. Going back to the Cradle example, I’d need to spend about $120 to get the points I need, and then I have to wait. There’s only three people who want the nonfoil as of this writing, and only one person has the points and the desire for the judge foil version.

Wouldn’t it be easier to just hit up eBay at that point? If I want to spend the cash, then I should be able to get what I want that much faster.

I’ve never pretended to be a big-dollar spender. In fact, I’m quite the opposite. I try hard not to buy singles. It’s not hard for me to think that I spend less on Magic that any of the writers here. I have to say that PucaTrade’s model has been a great one for me, and I would hate to see it be warped and changed.

It’s entirely possible that I’m overthinking this. The sky isn’t falling, but I don’t like the look of the clouds. Please, add a comment below and tell me why I’m right or why I’m wrong.


 

Brainstorm Brewery #173 – Darker than Animorphs

Brainstorm Brewery #173- Darker than Animorphs

I’m going to level with you. I don’t remember anything about recording this episode. I think it was a good one. We talked about a lot of non-Magic stuff, so, you’re welcome, I guess. We discussed Animorphs at one point? I’m not entirely sure that even made the cast. We talked about the weird new Wastes card (I think). I wish I could blame substances for not remembering but I literally just have no excuse. If you want to listen to the episode and send us show notes, we’ll send you tokens or something.

 

 

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