Dungeons & Dragons

In last week’s article I wrote a little bit about the upcoming Dungeons & Dragons crossover set – Adventures in the Forgotten Realms, and as we edge closer to the set release with more previews heading our way, I want to do a little bit of speculation on what I think is going to be important and which cards are going to be popular when the set hits us.


Coat of Arms (All Versions)

Price in Europe: €4
Price in US: $16
Possible price: $25

Races and classes are a huge part of Dungeons & Dragons, and so when we translate that to a Magic setting that probably means that creature types and tribes are going to be important when this set rolls around. That means that lords and lord effects could well be big game, and one of the most powerful lord effects around is Coat of Arms. Not only does it count your creatures for its effect, but it sees your opponents’ creatures as well which is more likely to matter than not at an EDH table.

As well as being in 17,000 EDH decks, Coat of Arms is the kind of card that’s hugely popular at the kitchen table – tribal decks are always going to do well, and that’s part of why I prefer the non-foils over the foils here – they have more casual appeal.

Aside from being a reasonable pickup in general, the arbitrage opportunities here are pretty wild – mostly due to the fact that this is not at all a competitive card, and so prices in Europe are low. You can grab various non-foils as low as €4 ($5) on MKM, whereas most versions on TCG start at $16+. That’s a huge gap that I think is only going to widen until we see a reprint, and to be honest I think it’s pretty impressive that the Mystery Booster versions are already at $16, after being $10 just a month or so ago. There are a tonne of different versions of this but they’re all a lot cheaper in Europe than the US, so take your pick and collect your winnings.

Dragon Tempest (Foil)

Price today: $5/OOS
Possible price: $15

Dungeons aren’t exactly a big part of MTG, but Dragons on the other hand – they’ve been an integral part of the game since Alpha, and they’re not done yet. We’ve already had one big dragon previewed from Adventures in the Forgotten Realms (a Dragon God no less), which goes and searches up all your best dragons from your deck for you. Dragons are the second most popular EDH tribe just behind elves, and I expect we’ll be seeing a lot more cool dragons with the new set.

Dragon Tempest might ‘only’ be in 8300 EDH decks on EDHREC, but the important fact is that it’s included in 86% of all dragon tribal decks that could play it, which is honestly a huge proportion considering the variety of dragon decks out there. The card was first printed back in Dragons of Tarkir, and since then we’ve had an IMA printing, a Commander 2017 printing (non-foil only) and an FNM promo pack. I was quite surprised to find that there are zero DTK NM foils on TCGPlayer, and only a small handful of LP copies. On top of that, even though it’s only an uncommon in IMA, there are only 13 NM foil listings for those.

I think that if you can find DTK foils under or around $7-8 and IMA foils around $5 you should be good here – both are available in Europe around those prices but not in huge supply, and some US vendors do still have a few copies here and there. I don’t think that this is primed for a reprint in the D&D set, so you should be looking good to grab a few copies and out them as hype for the set starts to spin up properly.

Temur Ascendancy (OBF)

Price today: $18
Possible price: $40

Staying with the Dragon theme (ish) for my last pick here, Temur Ascendancy is another enchantment in a lot of Dragon decks, and I think that the old-border foils from Time Spiral Remastered are generally just a good target here. A lot of the OBFs from the set are already very expensive but I think that some, like this one, are still being underrated.

Temur Ascendancy is in around 8500 EDH decks on EDHREC, a reasonably strong 12% of all decks that could play it. It’s an excellent card draw engine for the type of deck that’s likely to be playing it, and the haste really pushes everything over the top (especially for the dragons that are sorely lacking the haste department).

There are 36 OBF listings on TCGPlayer at the moment, which really isn’t a huge number considering almost all are single copies. With just a handful under $20, I think that those copies are a good buy at the moment to hold onto for 12 months or so. This is the kind of card you’ll probably see reprinted in a Commander set at some point, but I highly doubt we’ll get another premium printing like this for a long time.


David Sharman (@accidentprune on Twitter) has been playing Magic since 2013, dabbling in almost all formats but with a main focus on Modern, EDH and Pioneer. Based in the UK and a new writer for MTGPrice in 2020, he’s an active MTG finance speculator specialising in cross-border arbitrage.

Archive Dive

There’s a lot of things clamoring for our attention right now in Magic. Another overhaul of the OP program, stores are finally starting to open up, Modern Horizons 2 is starting previews soon…making this the perfect time to pay attention to Strixhaven’s mini-set, the Mystical Archive.

Some of these cards are surprisingly underpriced, and it’s time we take a look at what’s worth buying. It’s possible that these go a little lower in price, so you may want to be patient, but I’m calling attention to it all now.

It’s also worth saying that I’m paying attention to nonfoils and foils equally. If one version seems underpriced, that’s where I want to be. Play patterns also account for some differences, but I’m not committed to foils, etched, or plain copies. 

Time Warp (Mystical Archive $14, MA Etched $21, MA Foil $34) – I’m looking harder at the foils here, because as you remember from my piece six weeks ago about The Math of Strixhaven, you got a traditional foil mythic rare 4.8% of the time in a Collector Booster, and one foil Time Warp is found every 309 packs. These aren’t easy to find at all. I know that the Japanese alternate-art is consuming all of our attention, but that card is actually MORE common than the English version. (Every language of packs can open JP alternates, but only English packs can open the English yellow frame version.)

It’s also worth looking at the nonfoil for the simple reason that the price has never been lower, and that always has my attention. Time Warp is included in just over 9,000 Commander decks online, and has the benefit of not exiling itself like a lot of other extra-turn cards do. Other versions haven’t really taken much of a hit, even the M10 version from more than ten years ago has only fallen $3. 

Abundant Harvest ($2/$3/$7) – I didn’t know this was a brand-new card, and I’m not sure why. It’s brand-new and doesn’t exist anywhere else. Yet, anyway. It’s also worth noting that this is getting played as a four-of in Legacy Miracles decks, causing the prices of the foil JP alternate to skyrocket recently. Those should settle back down before too long, but when there’s a leading indicator like that, and this is such a unique card, that this is a very tempting card to buy for the long term. My only concern is the risk of being printed in a regular frame, likely as a common, as Adventurous Impulse was. Oath of Nissa was often called ‘the Green Ponder’ during its time in Standard, to the point that it was included on Pioneer’s initial Banned list. 

If this doesn’t get reprinted, I wouldn’t be shocked for this to be in the $5/$7/$15 range within a year.

Crux of Fate ($3/$5.50/$7) – The English version of this card is admittedly Jason Felix’s demonstration of his ability to copy fan art, and I’m admittedly not sure what that means for the price of the card long-term. I’m skeptical that the plagiarism will result in the card itself being cheaper, but I could also see this version being held back from going too high because of that same factor. Really, for me, this comes down to the announcement last week about Adventures in the Forgotten Realms: Tiamat, the newest five-color dragon.

Dragons were already a popular tribe, but Tiamat offers some amazing opportunities in that arena. One of the best accessories you could run in a Dragon deck is Crux of Fate, since it’ll kill every non-Dragon on the table. The JP alternate version started a lot higher and is showing no signs of decreasing. Keep in mind that it’s already in 13,000 Commander decks online, and that’s before the Dragon frenzy that will show up this summer. Tiamat and the anticipation of Dragon goodness is why the price of the foil from Fate Reforged went up $2 this past week as well.

Regrowth ($0.75/$1.50/$3) – You may be thinking that this is a basic card, and not worth it, but twenty-two thousand people bothered to put it into their decks online, which means a lot more folks have done that. Bala Ged Recovery is more expensive, it’s in 14k decks, but it’s a more versatile card. 

Regrowth is worth it as a brick-worthy spec, especially as one of the cheapest rares in this subset of cards. There’s a surprising number of people who like to collect full sets like this, and that’s why I’d also listen if you wanted a stack of Urza’s Rage or Compulsive Research. If you prefer to get in on cheap foil mythics (remember, one every 309 packs) then you’re aiming at Increasing Vengeance and Channel, each of which can be had for under a buck on TCGPlayer.

Growth Spiral ($1/$2/$3) – Spiral is in 20% of all Commander decks with blue and green in them, as well as being good in some Modern and Pioneer decks. Right now, your only choices for a premium version are the pack version and the sweet FNM frame, as well as the JP alternate art. Granted, both the promo and the original features some amazing work by Seb McKinnon, but these new versions are awesome too. I could be talked into any of the MA versions, but I will gravitate towards the cheapest nonfoil or the most expensive foil when it comes to Commander specs. 

Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Unlocked Pro Trader: 20,000 words about C21

Readers!

Typically I shoot for between 1,500 and 2,000 words per article, but today, I wanted to shoot for 20,000 words instead. I know it sounds daunting, believe me, it’s even more daunting for me. Do you really want to read an article that’s 10 times as long as my typical article? I mean, you might, but probably not. I’m certainly not inclined to write that much in one sitting, either. The only way for something like this to work is for me to try and hack it slightly. If we consider a picture to be 1,000 words, we can hit the 20k mark in no time. The best thing about a picture being worth 1,000 words is that you’re going to come to your own conclusions rather than having me either spoonfeed or bias you.

Commander 2021 is making stuff move, finally, and while there is still time to get ahead of some of it, it’s also good to know what is in the process of moving. With all of that in mind, I’m going to try to communicate the rest of my ideas with pictures. Whether or not you think this works, I’m probably never doing this again, so don’t worry if you hate it. Anyway, let’s make with the pics.

Did I make my points convincingly? Are you left with more questions than answers? Should I never again attempt to do a 20,000 word article? Let me know in the comment section or in the Discord if you’re a Pro Trader. Thanks for… can you call it reading? Thanks for your kind attention and I hope you picked up some of these sold-out cards when we called them earlier. Until next time!

Future Sight

Modern Horizons 2 is already on the…well, the horizon, with the set’s release date looming ever closer just over a month away. We’ve already seen the enemy fetches and both their extended art versions and old-border versions previewed PLUS Counterspell finally being introduced to the Modern format and so there’s a lot of hype going on around this set.

That means, of course, that I want to look elsewhere – somewhat further afield to some of the sets we’re going to see coming out later this year. In July we’re getting the Dungeons and Dragons crossover set, and then in September and November we’re getting double Innistrad sets focusing first on Werewolves and then on Vampires. With all that in mind, today I’m having a look at some cards that might be the ideal pickups before we reach those hype cycles.


Tazri, Beacon of Unity (FEA)

Price today: $4
Possible price: $10

The Party mechanic was one of the main themes brought to use by Zendikar Rising last year, and even back then it gave us hints that there might be something of a D&D tie-in at some point in the future. Now that it’s been confirmed, I think that a return to the Party mechanic is almost a sure thing, and that means that people are going to be heading back and looking at some of the best Party cards we got in Zendikar for another go around.

Tazri, Beacon of Unity was one of the most popular commanders built from the set, and is definitely the best general if you’re going to build a party-themed deck. If you’re running low cost Party creatures then you can drop Tazri out as early as turn 3 without any other mana acceleration, and then start rolling through your deck finding the other creatures you need. Even if we get another decent commander in the D&D set, people are still going to come back to Tazri and want to build her again.

Foil extended art copies are currently fairly low around $4, with 60 or so listings on TCGPlayer. This is a reasonable amount of supply at a lowish price, but as a Mythic from the set, once people start to snap up their copies it’s going to dry up pretty quickly. I expect to see Tazri bump up a decent amount as we approach the D&D set and could well post over $10.

Mayor of Avabruck (Foil)

Price today: $4
Possible price: $20

Onto Innistrad next, and with it come Werewolves. Werewolves were a huge part of original Innistrad, and there’s going to be a lot of nostalgia setting in as we return there later this year. We get Vampires flying around (hah) relatively often in a lot of sets, but Werewolves are few and far between comparatively. That means that the good ones we have access to end up being less available and more expensive, which is something that we need to keep an eye on if we don’t want to miss the boat.

Mayor of Avabruck is in 97% of Werewolf themed decks on EDHREC, and you can see why. It’s a two mana Lord for your creatures that spits out tokens every turn if you can keep it flipped, and so is something that you’re definitely going to want if you’re building a Werewolf deck.

There are currently a grand total of five NM set foils listed on TCGPlayer, plus some extra promo copies, and once people realise they might need a copy for their EDH deck, those are going to disappear in a hurry – and anyone with copies unlisted are going to post theirs at much higher prices. If you want a personal copy then grab it yesterday, and if you want a few to spec on then I suggest going LGS hunting or picking some up in Europe where there is a little more supply to go around. These foil will be $20 or more in a hurry when people start to buy them, and even if we see a reprint in the Werewolves set, I think you’ll have a chance to out these on the hype before it’s previewed.

Anowon, the Ruin Sage (Foil)

Price in Europe: €5 ($6)
Price in US: $16
Possible price: $20+

Finally onto Vampires, and as I mentioned before there may not be the same kind of nostalgia as there is with Werewolves, but that doesn’t mean they’re not going to make a comeback. There are a lot more decent Vampires around than Werewolves though, which means that we need to be a little more careful with what we’re buying.

I like the look of Anowon, the Ruin Sage here, because it’s a popular EDH choice with only two current printings and only one of those in foil (the other being a Commander set). The Original Worldwake foils seem to be close to non-existent in the US, with only one NM foil on TCGPlayer at $16 and a few LP copies as well. Major vendors in the US have very few or no copies as well, but over in Europe there are a few more to be had around the €5 mark.

That provides some good immediate arbitrage with the potential for much bigger gains down the road as we get closer to the release of the Innistrad: Vampires set. Non-foils of this aren’t exactly in great supply either, so I don’t mind picking up some of those at $1-2 to buylist or sell at $5-10 in a few months’ time.


David Sharman (@accidentprune on Twitter) has been playing Magic since 2013, dabbling in almost all formats but with a main focus on Modern, EDH and Pioneer. Based in the UK and a new writer for MTGPrice in 2020, he’s an active MTG finance speculator specialising in cross-border arbitrage.

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