Unlocked Pro Trader: Kamigawa Neon Data Dump

Readers!

I heard you like data! Well, technically, I heard you heard I like data. Well, technically, I really didn’t hear that. But I heard that I like data, and now you have heard that, too. Data makes my job easier, and while there isn’t a ton of it, there’s enough to start sifting now and keep sifting as decks get added. There are just too many EDH picks for me to track all of them myself, so I’m doing what I typically do and just explaining my thought process so you can decide for yourself. It will be fun, trust me. Let’s look at this set already!

We don’t have decks for every commander, but we have quite a few. I won’t belabor this article with Umezawa picks since he got his own article a while back and nothing there has changed much, but there are some interesting decks being built.

Tatsunari is super interesting because while Grolnok proves there really haven’t been enough Frogs to do a decent Frog tribal deck, a Frog/Enchantmentfall hybrid can work if there is some synergy. The deck looks like fun, and it’s pulling specs out of two different buckets which rules hard. I don’t know if this will stay #2 with the addition of the EDH deck exclusive commanders, but it’s doing well for now.

This is an important aside about EDHREC that I think you will want to not skip over so you can scroll down and see my picks. Some of the Enchantress stuff took a hit, but most of it didn’t. Remember, this first list is the high synergy cards, cards that appear in this deck but not too many other places. I think that the recency of Grolnok decks have obscured how relatively novel Frog-focused cards are. Any Frog tribal card is in Grolnok because there aren’t enough and it needs to play all of them to have an entire deck. Some of the stuff from the High Synergy cards on Grolnok’s page would be here if not for Grolnok, and that’s important to remember. Don’t miss out on checking there.

I don’t love reminding people to pick bulk because it implies I think everyone has bulk, but I wasn’t picking some pretty decent cards that are very much not bulk and should have been. You’ll find Shimmering Wings, Whip Silk, Mourning, Lignify, Oath of the Ancient Wood and some other stuff in bulk. The older stuff likely goes up and stays up – Whip Silk is potentially already a thing and I won’t admit I don’t know why because it will look like I don’t pay attention to pauper (I don’t, but I don’t want you to know that).

Copies of this under $20 basically don’t exist at this point. This would have been an excellent time to reprint this, but I guess they figure since they have Estrid’s Invocation, demand for this is low enough?

It’s not above the fabled 10k mark we all like to pretend is significant, but it gets some play and will get more play as decks from this set are built. This seems like a slam dunk to me, even at a $15 buy-in. Reprint risk seems medium-to-low with cards like this increasingly ending up on The List rather than getting proper reprints.

Blood Funnel is very good here. You sac Keimi to play an Enchantment that has its cost reduced and when that Enchantment resolves, Keimi comes back into play. It is better to sac another creature, but you always have one. This isn’t high synergy but it should be, and at bulk, it’s a 0 risk spec. Stock is pretty low of this, probably because it was bulk and bulk migrates into boxes and binders then spikes hard when the inventory is gone. How much inventory, you ask?

None, that’s how.

Baneful Omen is a slam dunk, imo.

There has never been a better deck for Baneful Omen than Hidetsugu. You didn’t want to be ripping cards off of the top in Yuriko so this card never saw play then. This is a RoE non-mythic which sounds rough, but RoE has some real gems.

If Keening Stone can be $3, so can this. That said, Realms Uncharted crashed back down to $5 so get out fast, imo. A sextuple up is very tasty, and if supply crashes in a chaotic day of trading, you’ll have copies for the people paying $12. I like this.

Supply on this is drying up, and it’s not just Hidetsugu doing it. Remember last time I brought up Draco and said there was a deck in another format using Draco to dome people when they reveal it on top? Remember how I said I’d figure out what deck that was? I didn’t, sorry. Maybe there is no deck. All I know is that there are also no copies of Draco, just about, so go nuts.

These are playable in WAY FEWER decks than Illusionists’ Bracers, I’ll grant you that, but $2 for the extended art version of a card that is similar to one that grows like this deserves a mention.

That does it for me! Next week I’ll be back for more decks and more data. Until next time!

Kamigawa in Modern

Now that we’ve got the full preview for Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty, it’s time for me to take a look at all the new cards and see what I think is going to be potentially useful or relevant in the Modern format.


Hidetsugu Consumes All

Price today: $10
Price I want to buy at: $5-8
Possible future price: $15

I’ve liked Sagas ever since they were first introduced to Magic back in Dominaria, and they’ve provided an interesting design space for some powerful cards. We don’t see too many Sagas in Modern, but I think that Hidetsugu Consumes All is a card that could prove very strong in the format. Both the first and second chapters have an immediate impact on the board: destroying all nonland permanents (not just creatures) with mana value one or less hits so many relevant targets like Ragavan, Death’s Shadow, Colossus Hammer and more. Exiling graveyards has always, and probably will always be useful in Modern (looking at you, Lurrus), and then once you’ve done all that you still get a 3/3 with upside for your troubles.

Modern is a format about efficiency and flexibility of threats and answers, and Hidetsugu Consumes All does all that and more in one card. I certainly expect to see this tested out a bunch and wouldn’t be surprised if it becomes a reasonable force in the format, so keep an eye on prices as they come down a bit after release and pick your entry point. I like the Showcase versions quite a bit here too (more so than the EA copies), so don’t forget those if you’re looking to pick some up as a spec or for your decks.

Boseiju, Who Endures

Price today: $35 (lol)
Price I want to buy at: $5 (yes, really)
Possible future price: $20

Boseiju, Who Endures is possibly the card from the new set that’s had the most hype and chatter around it, with people getting very excited about pairing it with Wrenn and Six, Life From the Loam or Primeval Titan. These are all undoubtedly great homes for the card and I’m not saying the card isn’t great, but I am saying that a $35 preorder price for a regular rare in a Standard set is a little ridiculous.

Boseiju puts in the work of an Assassin’s Trophy (although admittedly not hitting creatures), but is also just an untapped land that even makes coloured mana – quite the package deal for this card. I don’t think that we’re going to see this become a huge staple with decks running four copies, but I do think that multiple decks like Jund, Dredge and Titan will start running 1-3 copies and be able to replace a basic land with it, potentially opening up other removal slots for different cards instead.

As I said before, the $35 price tag on these preorders isn’t really justifiable, and once the mass box openings start we should see this fall under $10 before too long at all. I expect to see this played a reasonable amount in EDH too, and its multi-format popularity should secure it as a good spec to pick up a fair few of and sit on for a year or two.

March of Otherworldly Light

Price today: $3
Price I want to buy at: $3
Possible future price: $10

Kamigawa has given us a cycle of five Marches and they all seem like pretty decent cards, but March of Otherworldly Light really stands out as the one that could actually make it in eternal formats. I see this as a premium removal spell to challenge the likes of Prismatic Ending and Path to Exile in Modern (although Ending has pretty much replaced Path at this point anyway), and is definitely going to be tested heavily.

March is an instant which already puts it ahead of the sorcery speed Prismatic Ending, and although it can’t Planeswalkers, it’s still going to be great against the vast majority of relevant threats in Modern. You can be on the draw and still hit a turn three Lurrus before you untap, and the scalability of the card makes it incredibly flexible. You can take out anything from a Ragavan to a Primeval Titan without much trouble, and although you’ll sometimes be putting yourself down on cards, the mana you’re saving and the fact that you can react at instant speed more than makes up for that in my books.

TCGPlayer prices are currently around $3 for this, whereas over in Europe you’re looking at paying more like $8-9. That means one of two things: prices in Europe are yet to fall far enough, or the US is massively undervaluing this card (or a mixture of the two). I’m willing to bet that it’s a little of each column, but that also means that I think you should be grabbing these at $3 whilst you can. Prices in Europe might come down to around $5 but could well stop there if March of Otherworldly Light proves to become a Modern staple, so I wouldn’t hang around if you want copies of this.


David Sharman (@accidentprune on Twitter) has been playing Magic since 2013, dabbling in almost all formats but with a main focus on Modern, EDH and Pioneer. Based in the UK, he’s an active MTG finance speculator specialising in cross-border arbitrage.

Bright Lights, Neon City

We haven’t gotten all of Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty yet, but we’ve gotten a lot of it and we’ve already seen some truly outstanding cards be previewed. The full set should be up either today or next Friday, but either way, we’ve got some tremendous cards to look at and think about.

It’s possible that we get some even bigger bangers than we’ve gotten, but even with about two-thirds of the set revealed, there’s a few cards that are already obvious candidates for our money. Let’s dive in!

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Cliff (@WordOfCommander) has been writing for MTGPrice since 2013, and is an eager Commander player, Draft enthusiast, and Cube fanatic. A high school science teacher by day, he’s also the official substitute teacher of the MTG Fast Finance podcast. If you’re ever at a GP and you see a giant flashing ‘CUBE DRAFT’ sign, go over, say hi, and be ready to draft.

Unlocked Pro Trader: At Long Last! Data!

Readers!

I have wondrous news! Decks are beginning to populate decklist websites, and in their wake, the EDHREC serpent hoovers up their luscious contents and regurgitates them on your carpet like a dutiful pet. Is it a gift or a warning? You don’t know, you don’t speak serpent language because they don’t have one. Serpents don’t have vocal cords, you idiot.

I’m here to poke around in the entrails and divine any information I can. Let’s get our hands dirty, shall we?

There isn’t a ton, and it’s mostly in “order these cards were spoiled” order for now, which is fine. We knew we’d get a ninja, and we have known that ninja was Satoru for what feels like a month. Hidetsugu, too. So is there any meat left on the bone considering people could have been tinkering with builds for a while? Let’s look!

Satoru Umezawa

Seems like there is a split between big creature to ninja in for 2BU and ways to make sure you get through unblocked. High Synergy cards aren’t always the best specs, but it is where we find picks that are more specific to this deck than to others. Anything stand out?

I started with the card I think has the least room to grow. I liked this initially under $10, and while I still do, I wouldn’t pay $10 for this, which means my gut says it likely won’t hit $20. Would you buy at $10 trying to get out at $12? No. What about $8? If you would, this is under $8 for now. It has multiple printings but that hasn’t stopped its price climb too much. I like this, and I like other specs even more.

$20 on CK for a card in barely 6,000 decks in the last 2 years? I have a feeling its inclusions may be more historical (think Kaalia decks, etc) but EDHREC doesn’t display that data.

Yet.

I don’t love this as a spec, but even with its high price, it’s primed to move. Check out CSI’s stock.

This graph for the Jumpstart version is WILD. This is about to hit a historic low, but there are lots of printings. This needs help from more than just Satoru, maybe, but it also opened at 25, went down, then got above 25. This can’t tank forever, and with copies at $12, I like it.

I wasn’t sure what to make of a card like this, so I decided to see where it ranked amongst other non-mythics in MH1.

This is already on the high end of non-mythics between $5 and $10, but this set has been out of print a while. Will Satoru make this more popular than Giver of Runes? I think we needed to see they were showing us Ninja in advance and pay attention then, unfortunately.

Basically all other Ninja are even worse. There is another kind of card for this deck, though, that will benefit more from data and is less kittycat in nature.

There are a few quick hits that don’t deserve their own heading but do deserve a mention.

Image

“Hinata, Crown of Dawn”
{1}{U}{R}{W}
Legendary Creature — Spirit Kirin
Flying, trample
Spells you cast cost {1} less to cast for each target they have.
Spells your opponents cast cost {1} more to cast for each target they have.

This seems like all of the cards with Strive that target are in play, at minimum.

Here is a scryfall search for “Any number of targets” to get you started. This dropped literally seconds ago so I haven’t had time to fully explore this, but it’s interesting.

This has a strive cost of 1 which makes it a very exciting target.

It seems pretty likely that if we look at Twinflame for the ceiling on these spikes, we’re looking at $2 minimum. I think the deck looks fun and I bet these bulk rares make some people some money.

Hinata makes Magma Opus cost 1RU but I doubt it makes it cost more money given how recent it is. Still, if you did build Hinata, Opus would be a shoo-in.

You have to weigh how you feel about low risk versus high supply. I’m in for a couple of playsets.

Final Fortune and friends already went bonkers in price because of Obeka, but Sigarda’s Aid and other equip aids could get there. If CK can charge $14 for a Sigarda’s Aid, I can pay $8 on TCG Player.

There will be plenty more hits as cards continue being spoiled, so check out my Twitter account for my thoughts. Until next time!

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